AgenticInvestor

Romania Exports

Romania · Monthly series · EC-RO-EXP

Latest, July 2026

10.51B EUR

+6.6% from June 2026

Open interactive chartRomania Exports in the app

12.27B7.711B3.156BAugust 2016July 2027
History through July 2026, the forecast path to July 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for July 2027: 10.54B EUR, with an 80% interval of 9.39B EUR to 11.62B EUR.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
August 20268.98B EUR7.88B EUR9.99B EUR
September 202610.51B EUR10.06B EUR10.96B EUR
October 202610.55B EUR10.30B EUR10.80B EUR
November 202610.31B EUR9.58B EUR11.04B EUR
December 20268.72B EUR7.36B EUR9.99B EUR
January 20279.08B EUR7.97B EUR10.17B EUR
February 20279.90B EUR9.22B EUR10.54B EUR
March 202710.69B EUR9.00B EUR12.27B EUR
April 20279.89B EUR8.96B EUR10.76B EUR
May 202710.18B EUR8.21B EUR12.09B EUR
June 202710.20B EUR8.96B EUR11.36B EUR
July 202710.54B EUR9.39B EUR11.62B EUR

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+21%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 9 won)
Direction
73%No clear edge over a coin flip (105 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
69 of 76Anticipated most turns (76 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
21% lowerError ratio 0.79; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
9 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-08-01 to 2026-07-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
83%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the highest of the 120 readings since August 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
July 202610.51B EUR
June 20269.86B EUR
May 20269.56B EUR
April 20269.54B EUR
March 202610.31B EUR
February 20269.39B EUR
January 20268.06B EUR
December 20258.39B EUR
November 20259.59B EUR
October 202510.26B EUR
September 202510.40B EUR
August 20257.84B EUR
July 202510.31B EUR
June 20259.44B EUR
May 20258.91B EUR
April 20258.79B EUR
March 20259.08B EUR
February 20258.18B EUR
January 20257.47B EUR
December 20246.87B EUR
November 20248.87B EUR
October 20249.18B EUR
September 20249.02B EUR
August 20247.16B EUR

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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