AgenticInvestor

Romania Foreign Exchange Reserves

Romania · Monthly series · EC-RO-FER

Latest, October 2026

58.55B EUR

-2.5% from September 2026

Open interactive chartRomania Foreign Exchange Reserves in the app

75.16B54.83B34.51BNovember 2016October 2027
History through October 2026, the forecast path to October 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 58.92B EUR, with an 80% interval of 43.89B EUR to 75.16B EUR.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 202659.34B EUR57.04B EUR62.01B EUR
December 202659.45B EUR56.43B EUR62.92B EUR
January 202759.45B EUR56.02B EUR63.17B EUR
February 202759.50B EUR55.37B EUR64.13B EUR
March 202759.20B EUR56.55B EUR62.12B EUR
April 202759.22B EUR54.59B EUR64.26B EUR
May 202759.15B EUR54.47B EUR64.12B EUR
June 202759.00B EUR52.37B EUR66.14B EUR
July 202758.94B EUR49.84B EUR68.66B EUR
August 202759.03B EUR51.06B EUR67.58B EUR
September 202758.99B EUR46.99B EUR71.75B EUR
October 202758.92B EUR43.89B EUR75.16B EUR

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
-8%Matches the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 6 won)
Direction
57%No clear edge over a coin flip (82 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
10 of 71Anticipated some turns (71 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
8% higherError ratio 1.08; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
6 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-11-01 to 2026-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
80%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 64% of the 119 earlier readings since November 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 202658.55B EUR
September 202660.06B EUR
August 202664.86B EUR
July 202663.23B EUR
June 202663.49B EUR
May 202664.05B EUR
April 202664.84B EUR
March 202667.03B EUR
February 202665.02B EUR
January 202665.81B EUR
December 202564.80B EUR
November 202565.41B EUR
October 202565.35B EUR
September 202565.02B EUR
August 202574.92B EUR
July 202572.86B EUR
June 202567.63B EUR
May 202565.36B EUR
April 202572.03B EUR
March 202571.58B EUR
February 202571.76B EUR
January 202569.81B EUR
December 202470.49B EUR
November 202469.57B EUR

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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