AgenticInvestor

Romania GDP From Services

Romania · Quarterly series · EC-RO-GDPS

Latest, Q2 2026

57.49B RON

-0.1% from Q1 2026

Open interactive chartRomania GDP From Services in the app

64.52B37.87B11.22BQ3 1996Q2 2027
History through Q2 2026, the forecast path to Q2 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for Q2 2027: 57.05B RON, with an 80% interval of 48.12B RON to 64.52B RON.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
Q3 202657.42B RON55.42B RON59.40B RON
Q4 202657.33B RON50.94B RON63.66B RON
Q1 202757.19B RON52.49B RON61.51B RON
Q2 202757.05B RON48.12B RON64.52B RON

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+5%Matches the no-change baseline over 8 tests (8 tests, 6 won)
Direction
66%No clear edge over a coin flip (21 of 32 calls right in 8 tests)
Turning points
1 of 11Anticipated some turns (11 turns in 8 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
5% lowerError ratio 0.95; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
6 / 8Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2018-09-01 to 2026-06-014 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
84%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 56% of the 39 earlier readings since Q3 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
Q2 202657.49B RON
Q1 202657.53B RON
Q4 202557.89B RON
Q3 202560.99B RON
Q2 202560.75B RON
Q1 202560.14B RON
Q4 202461.29B RON
Q3 202461.39B RON
Q2 202461.23B RON
Q1 202461.66B RON
Q4 202359.27B RON
Q3 202360.19B RON
Q2 202360.42B RON
Q1 202359.74B RON
Q4 202260.24B RON
Q3 202259.72B RON
Q2 202259.17B RON
Q1 202258.76B RON
Q4 202156.68B RON
Q3 202156.05B RON
Q2 202153.98B RON
Q1 202155.66B RON
Q4 202052.18B RON
Q3 202049.32B RON

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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