AgenticInvestor

Romania Producer Price Index

Romania · Monthly series · EC-RO-PPI

Latest, September 2026

175.7 pts

+2.6% from August 2026

Open interactive chartRomania Producer Price Index in the app

247.117399October 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 194.0 pts, with an 80% interval of 144.5 pts to 247.1 pts.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 2026178.7 pts173.2 pts184.3 pts
November 2026180.6 pts169.1 pts193.6 pts
December 2026182.7 pts171.2 pts195.4 pts
January 2027184.6 pts150.1 pts224.1 pts
February 2027186.6 pts152.8 pts225.6 pts
March 2027188.2 pts164.5 pts214.4 pts
April 2027189.5 pts151.6 pts229.9 pts
May 2027190.6 pts150.1 pts234.0 pts
June 2027191.8 pts161.1 pts224.3 pts
July 2027192.7 pts150.4 pts237.7 pts
August 2027193.4 pts151.3 pts238.6 pts
September 2027194.0 pts144.5 pts247.1 pts

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+13%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 6 won)
Direction
61%No clear edge over a coin flip (88 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
6 of 40Anticipated some turns (40 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
13% lowerError ratio 0.87; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
6 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
79%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 85% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 2026175.7 pts
August 2026171.2 pts
July 2026167.7 pts
June 2026166.4 pts
May 2026164.4 pts
April 2026162.3 pts
March 2026159.6 pts
February 2026157.8 pts
January 2026159.6 pts
December 2025156.3 pts
November 2025156.1 pts
October 2025155.7 pts
September 2025154.3 pts
August 2025153.1 pts
July 2025154.4 pts
June 2025147.1 pts
May 2025146.9 pts
April 2025147.2 pts
March 2025149.4 pts
February 2025153.2 pts
January 2025148.1 pts
December 2024147.8 pts
November 2024149.1 pts
October 2024144.3 pts

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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