Seychelles Consumer Credit
Seychelles · Monthly series · EC-SC-CCR
Latest, September 2026
2.92B SCR
+1.5% from August 2026
Forecast
Forecast for September 2027: 3.25B SCR, with an 80% interval of 2.87B SCR to 3.52B SCR.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 2.96B SCR | 2.92B SCR | 3.00B SCR |
| November 2026 | 2.99B SCR | 2.94B SCR | 3.04B SCR |
| December 2026 | 3.02B SCR | 2.96B SCR | 3.08B SCR |
| January 2027 | 3.05B SCR | 2.99B SCR | 3.11B SCR |
| February 2027 | 3.08B SCR | 3.01B SCR | 3.14B SCR |
| March 2027 | 3.10B SCR | 3.03B SCR | 3.17B SCR |
| April 2027 | 3.13B SCR | 3.04B SCR | 3.20B SCR |
| May 2027 | 3.15B SCR | 3.03B SCR | 3.25B SCR |
| June 2027 | 3.18B SCR | 3.03B SCR | 3.30B SCR |
| July 2027 | 3.20B SCR | 3.04B SCR | 3.33B SCR |
| August 2027 | 3.23B SCR | 2.92B SCR | 3.46B SCR |
| September 2027 | 3.25B SCR | 2.87B SCR | 3.52B SCR |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +52%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 10 won)
- Direction
- 92%Beats a coin flip (133 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 2 of 34Anticipated some turns (34 turns in 12 tests, 3 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 52% lowerError ratio 0.48; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 10 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-09-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
That is the highest of the 120 readings since October 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | 2.92B SCR |
| August 2026 | 2.88B SCR |
| July 2026 | 2.81B SCR |
| June 2026 | 2.78B SCR |
| May 2026 | 2.75B SCR |
| April 2026 | 2.73B SCR |
| March 2026 | 2.70B SCR |
| February 2026 | 2.67B SCR |
| January 2026 | 2.65B SCR |
| December 2025 | 2.63B SCR |
| November 2025 | 2.59B SCR |
| October 2025 | 2.55B SCR |
| September 2025 | 2.50B SCR |
| August 2025 | 2.47B SCR |
| July 2025 | 2.43B SCR |
| June 2025 | 2.39B SCR |
| May 2025 | 2.37B SCR |
| April 2025 | 2.33B SCR |
| March 2025 | 2.30B SCR |
| February 2025 | 2.26B SCR |
| January 2025 | 2.23B SCR |
| December 2024 | 2.21B SCR |
| November 2024 | 2.17B SCR |
| October 2024 | 2.12B SCR |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
More from Agentic Investor
- Open Seychelles Consumer Credit in the app: the interactive chart and a fresh forecast
- World and commodity series: every stored series
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Also stored for Seychelles
- Seychelles Balance Of Trade
- Seychelles Banks Balance Sheet
- Seychelles CPI Housing Utilities
- Seychelles CPI Transportation
- Seychelles Capital Flows
- Seychelles Cash Reserve Ratio
- Seychelles Central Bank Balance Sheet
- Seychelles Central Bank Lending Rate
- Seychelles Consumer Price Index
- Seychelles Consumer Spending
- Seychelles Core Consumer Prices
- Seychelles Core Inflation Rate YoY