AgenticInvestor

Sudan Consumer Price Index

Sudan · Monthly series · EC-SD-CPI

Latest, February 2023

68,887.7 pts

+1.8% from January 2023

Open interactive chartSudan Consumer Price Index in the app

126.2K63.27K287.6March 2013February 2024
History through February 2023, the forecast path to February 2024 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for February 2024: 77,872.6 pts, with an 80% interval of 31,592.5 pts to 126,245.8 pts.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
March 202370,014.6 pts68,261.6 pts72,555.8 pts
April 202370,730.4 pts68,078.4 pts74,192.6 pts
May 202371,591.0 pts64,324.6 pts80,996.1 pts
June 202372,472.1 pts59,150.0 pts88,730.3 pts
July 202373,419.0 pts55,305.2 pts96,351.5 pts
August 202374,392.9 pts51,169.8 pts101,703.3 pts
September 202375,010.1 pts44,776.8 pts110,635.0 pts
October 202375,512.4 pts47,824.0 pts106,921.4 pts
November 202376,015.6 pts47,898.6 pts105,783.0 pts
December 202376,837.3 pts41,458.3 pts114,140.2 pts
January 202477,362.3 pts37,066.9 pts122,634.2 pts
February 202477,872.6 pts31,592.5 pts126,245.8 pts

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+53%Beats the no-change baseline over 9 tests (9 tests, 9 won)
Direction
100%Beats a coin flip (108 of 108 calls right in 9 tests)
Turning points
0 of 8Anticipated no turn, as the no-change baseline does (8 turns in 9 tests, 4 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
53% lowerError ratio 0.47; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
9 / 9Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-03-01 to 2023-02-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
82%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the highest of the 120 readings since March 2013.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
February 202368,887.7 pts
January 202367,700.9 pts
December 202267,680.4 pts
November 202267,389.4 pts
October 202266,392.6 pts
September 202265,137.3 pts
August 202259,125.0 pts
July 202257,546.7 pts
June 202256,088.6 pts
May 202253,029.5 pts
April 202249,662.8 pts
March 202247,675.3 pts
February 202242,182.8 pts
January 202236,874.7 pts
December 202136,131.1 pts
November 202135,687.9 pts
October 202132,770.3 pts
September 202131,423.3 pts
August 202127,193.9 pts
July 202125,529.8 pts
June 202122,547.7 pts
May 202118,148.5 pts
April 202115,483.9 pts
March 202113,128.3 pts

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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