Sweden Crude Oil Production

The no-change baseline made no errors, so relative improvement cannot be measured.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive

n/aNot comparable: the no-change baseline made no errors (12 tests, 0 won)

Direction

n/aToo few tests (0 direction calls, 8 needed) (0 of 0 calls right in 0 tests)

Turning points

n/aToo few tests (0 turns, 8 needed) (0 turns in 12 tests, 12 without a turn)

Error vs baseline

Not comparableThe baseline made no errors in these tests.

Tests won

0 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.

Test period

2011-04-01 to 2023-03-0112 observations ahead per test.

80% band coverage

100%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.

• Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
• The 80% band held more than expected outcomes; interpret its width with care.
• Evaluated 2026-11-14 against the cached history through 2023-03-01.
• This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.