Sweden Imports
Sweden · Monthly series · EC-SE-IMP
Latest, September 2026
202.30B SEK
+17.1% from August 2026
Forecast
Forecast for September 2027: 201.00B SEK, with an 80% interval of 180.69B SEK to 223.81B SEK.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 204.34B SEK | 193.89B SEK | 215.32B SEK |
| November 2026 | 203.19B SEK | 187.31B SEK | 220.71B SEK |
| December 2026 | 191.41B SEK | 176.45B SEK | 207.15B SEK |
| January 2027 | 181.07B SEK | 149.87B SEK | 214.21B SEK |
| February 2027 | 186.99B SEK | 167.53B SEK | 207.98B SEK |
| March 2027 | 207.94B SEK | 177.42B SEK | 242.06B SEK |
| April 2027 | 195.63B SEK | 172.27B SEK | 220.34B SEK |
| May 2027 | 199.43B SEK | 160.85B SEK | 240.73B SEK |
| June 2027 | 199.55B SEK | 175.31B SEK | 225.64B SEK |
| July 2027 | 170.99B SEK | 137.83B SEK | 206.36B SEK |
| August 2027 | 187.70B SEK | 160.81B SEK | 217.06B SEK |
| September 2027 | 201.00B SEK | 180.69B SEK | 223.81B SEK |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +24%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 9 won)
- Direction
- 74%No clear edge over a coin flip (107 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 66 of 74Anticipated most turns (74 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 24% lowerError ratio 0.76; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 9 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 78%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-14 against the cached history through 2026-09-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
That is the highest of the 120 readings since October 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | 202.30B SEK |
| August 2026 | 172.70B SEK |
| July 2026 | 158.20B SEK |
| June 2026 | 193.00B SEK |
| May 2026 | 180.20B SEK |
| April 2026 | 192.80B SEK |
| March 2026 | 189.40B SEK |
| February 2026 | 162.80B SEK |
| January 2026 | 155.40B SEK |
| December 2025 | 159.30B SEK |
| November 2025 | 170.30B SEK |
| October 2025 | 179.60B SEK |
| September 2025 | 170.50B SEK |
| August 2025 | 154.10B SEK |
| July 2025 | 150.70B SEK |
| June 2025 | 166.00B SEK |
| May 2025 | 167.40B SEK |
| April 2025 | 164.90B SEK |
| March 2025 | 175.90B SEK |
| February 2025 | 161.00B SEK |
| January 2025 | 168.90B SEK |
| December 2024 | 159.70B SEK |
| November 2024 | 179.60B SEK |
| October 2024 | 183.80B SEK |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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Also stored for Sweden
- Sweden Asylum Applications
- Sweden Balance Of Trade
- Sweden Bankruptcies
- Sweden Banks Balance Sheet
- Sweden Building Permits
- Sweden Business Confidence Index
- Sweden Business Inventories
- Sweden CPI Housing Utilities
- Sweden CPI Transportation
- Sweden CPI with fixed interest rate MoM
- Sweden CPI with fixed interest rate YoY
- Sweden Capacity Utilization