AgenticInvestor

Sweden Retail Sales YoY

Sweden · Monthly series · EC-SE-RSYY

Latest, September 2026

5.5%

-1.70pp from August 2026

Open interactive chartSweden Retail Sales YoY in the app

11.140.2698-10.6October 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 6.2%, with an 80% interval of 1.6% to 9.9%.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 20266.4%4.5%8.2%
November 20266.5%4.1%8.7%
December 20266.5%3.6%9.0%
January 20276.5%4.5%8.2%
February 20276.5%2.6%9.8%
March 20276.4%1.9%10.3%
April 20276.4%1.0%10.9%
May 20276.4%1.8%10.1%
June 20276.3%2.5%9.5%
July 20276.3%0.2%11.1%
August 20276.2%3.1%8.8%
September 20276.2%1.6%9.9%

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+3%Matches the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 6 won)
Direction
53%No clear edge over a coin flip (73 of 138 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
27 of 79Anticipated some turns (79 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
3% lowerError ratio 0.97; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
6 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 89% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 20265.5%
August 20267.2%
July 20266.4%
June 20267.7%
May 20268.2%
April 20264.7%
March 20265.8%
February 20262.2%
January 20264.0%
December 20252.4%
November 20257.8%
October 20254.8%
September 20254.6%
August 20254.5%
July 20253.0%
June 20252.7%
May 2025-1.4%
April 20255.0%
March 20253.2%
February 20251.8%
January 20252.2%
December 20244.2%
November 20240.0%
October 20240.4%

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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