Singapore GDP Per Capita
Singapore · Annual series · EC-SG-GDPPC
Latest, 2025
70.7K USD
+3.7% from 2024
Forecast
Forecast for 2028: 75.2K USD, with an 80% interval of 66.7K USD to 83.7K USD.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 72.2K USD | 69.2K USD | 75.1K USD |
| 2027 | 73.7K USD | 65.4K USD | 82.0K USD |
| 2028 | 75.2K USD | 66.7K USD | 83.7K USD |
AI confidence
Needs refreshThe data refresh is due. Confidence will be reassessed against the refreshed history.
Model: Exponential smoothing (statistical)
- Accuracy vs naive
- n/aNot evaluated
- Direction
- n/aNot evaluated
- Turning points
- n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Previous comparisonThe stored comparison uses earlier data or a previous model roster. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Models tested
Exponential smoothing scored lowest on the 6 older tests (0.46) and was chosen. The 6 recent tests played no part in the choice and give its grade (0.71). That grade beats the naive forecast. Scores are MASE: a model's errors divided by the naive forecast's, so 1 is a tie.
4 model classes completed the tests: Statistical, Machine learning, Foundation model, Neural network. Previous model roster.
| Model | Class and compute | Older tests | Recent tests | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exponential smoothing (statistical) | Statistical · CPU | 0.46 | 0.71 | Serving |
| Gradient-boosted trees (machine learning) | Machine learning · CPU | 0.50 | 0.83 | Tested |
| State-space model, 167M (foundation model) | Foundation model · CPU | 0.51 | 0.79 | Tested |
| Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model) | Foundation model · CPU | 0.66 | 0.67 | Tested |
| Hierarchical neural network (neural network) | Neural network · CPU | 0.66 | 1.54 | Tested |
| Naive forecast (last value held) | Benchmark · CPU | 1.00 | 1.00 | Benchmark |
Reading
That is the highest of the 10 readings since 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025 | 70.7K USD |
| 2024 | 68.1K USD |
| 2023 | 66.0K USD |
| 2022 | 68.3K USD |
| 2021 | 67.8K USD |
| 2020 | 59.1K USD |
| 2019 | 61.1K USD |
| 2018 | 61.1K USD |
| 2017 | 59.5K USD |
| 2016 | 57.1K USD |
| 2015 | 55.6K USD |
| 2014 | 54.7K USD |
| 2013 | 53.3K USD |
| 2012 | 51.7K USD |
| 2011 | 50.7K USD |
| 2010 | 48.8K USD |
| 2009 | 43.3K USD |
| 2008 | 44.6K USD |
| 2007 | 46.2K USD |
| 2006 | 44.2K USD |
| 2005 | 41.8K USD |
| 2004 | 39.9K USD |
| 2003 | 36.7K USD |
| 2002 | 34.6K USD |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
More from Agentic Investor
- Open Singapore GDP Per Capita in the app: the interactive chart and a fresh forecast
- World and commodity series: every stored series
- Vietnam indicators
Also stored for Singapore
- Singapore Average Weekly Hours
- Singapore Balance Of Trade
- Singapore Bank Lending Rate
- Singapore Bankruptcies
- Singapore Banks Balance Sheet
- Singapore Business Confidence Index
- Singapore CO2 Emissions
- Singapore CPI Housing Utilities
- Singapore CPI Transportation
- Singapore Capital Flows
- Singapore Car Registrations
- Singapore Central Bank Balance Sheet