Senegal Imports
Senegal · Monthly series · EC-SN-IMP
Latest, August 2026
551.10B XOF
-9.1% from July 2026
Forecast
Forecast for August 2027: 592.70B XOF, with an 80% interval of 356.75B XOF to 871.45B XOF.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 589.58B XOF | 460.10B XOF | 754.59B XOF |
| October 2026 | 598.81B XOF | 495.80B XOF | 724.61B XOF |
| November 2026 | 603.59B XOF | 516.47B XOF | 704.89B XOF |
| December 2026 | 601.78B XOF | 338.06B XOF | 919.33B XOF |
| January 2027 | 584.52B XOF | 453.85B XOF | 739.57B XOF |
| February 2027 | 565.36B XOF | 417.60B XOF | 744.54B XOF |
| March 2027 | 561.93B XOF | 431.59B XOF | 720.19B XOF |
| April 2027 | 565.29B XOF | 456.82B XOF | 698.41B XOF |
| May 2027 | 576.88B XOF | 363.65B XOF | 830.80B XOF |
| June 2027 | 587.79B XOF | 385.80B XOF | 826.40B XOF |
| July 2027 | 593.28B XOF | 471.71B XOF | 739.28B XOF |
| August 2027 | 592.70B XOF | 356.75B XOF | 871.45B XOF |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +14%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 9 won)
- Direction
- 67%No clear edge over a coin flip (96 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 60 of 94Anticipated most turns (94 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 14% lowerError ratio 0.86; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 9 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-09-01 to 2026-08-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-08-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 68% of the 119 earlier readings since September 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| August 2026 | 551.10B XOF |
| July 2026 | 606.00B XOF |
| June 2026 | 653.60B XOF |
| May 2026 | 516.10B XOF |
| April 2026 | 546.10B XOF |
| March 2026 | 529.60B XOF |
| February 2026 | 513.20B XOF |
| January 2026 | 524.80B XOF |
| December 2025 | 544.80B XOF |
| November 2025 | 713.30B XOF |
| October 2025 | 796.50B XOF |
| September 2025 | 502.70B XOF |
| August 2025 | 517.50B XOF |
| July 2025 | 635.60B XOF |
| June 2025 | 544.90B XOF |
| May 2025 | 557.40B XOF |
| April 2025 | 619.80B XOF |
| March 2025 | 539.30B XOF |
| February 2025 | 507.60B XOF |
| January 2025 | 799.70B XOF |
| December 2024 | 722.40B XOF |
| November 2024 | 576.10B XOF |
| October 2024 | 698.30B XOF |
| September 2024 | 544.30B XOF |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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Also stored for Senegal
- Senegal Balance Of Trade
- Senegal CPI Housing Utilities
- Senegal CPI Transportation
- Senegal Capacity Utilization
- Senegal Capital Flows
- Senegal Central Bank Lending Rate
- Senegal Consumer Price Index
- Senegal Corporate Tax Rate
- Senegal Corruption Index
- Senegal Corruption Rank
- Senegal Current Account
- Senegal Current Account To GDP