AgenticInvestor

Suriname Central Bank Lending Rate

Suriname · Monthly series · EC-SR-LR

Latest, September 2026

13.7%

+0.00pp from August 2026

Open interactive chartSuriname Central Bank Lending Rate in the app

15.414.0812.75October 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 13.5%, with an 80% interval of 12.8% to 14.3%.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 202613.7%13.5%13.8%
November 202613.7%13.5%13.9%
December 202613.7%13.4%13.9%
January 202713.6%13.3%14.0%
February 202713.6%13.2%14.0%
March 202713.6%13.1%14.1%
April 202713.6%13.1%14.0%
May 202713.6%13.0%14.1%
June 202713.6%13.0%14.1%
July 202713.6%12.9%14.2%
August 202713.5%12.8%14.2%
September 202713.5%12.8%14.3%

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Weak evidence

The serving forecast made larger errors than the no-change baseline in these tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
-14%Trails the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 5 won)
Direction
47%No clear edge over a coin flip (60 of 127 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
6 of 39Anticipated some turns (39 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
14% higherError ratio 1.14; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
5 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 4% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 202613.7%
August 202613.7%
July 202613.7%
June 202613.8%
May 202613.9%
April 202614.0%
March 202614.0%
February 202614.1%
January 202614.1%
December 202514.3%
November 202514.3%
October 202514.5%
September 202514.4%
August 202514.6%
July 202514.5%
June 202514.5%
May 202514.5%
April 202514.6%
March 202514.6%
February 202514.6%
January 202514.6%
December 202414.7%
November 202414.8%
October 202414.7%

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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