Syria Gold Reserves
Syria · Quarterly series · EC-SY-GRES
Latest, Q1 2024
25.8 pts
+0.0% from Q4 2023
Forecast
Forecast for Q1 2025: 25.8 pts, with an 80% interval of 25.8 pts to 25.8 pts.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2024 | 25.8 pts | 25.8 pts | 25.8 pts |
| Q3 2024 | 25.8 pts | 25.8 pts | 25.8 pts |
| Q4 2024 | 25.8 pts | 25.8 pts | 25.8 pts |
| Q1 2025 | 25.8 pts | 25.8 pts | 25.8 pts |
AI confidence
Not evaluatedThe serving model has no matching evaluation yet.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- n/aNot evaluated
- Direction
- n/aNot evaluated
- Turning points
- n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison not readyA forecast and enough history for rolling backtests are required.
Reading
It is above 11% of the 38 earlier readings since Q2 2014.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | 25.8 pts |
| Q4 2023 | 25.8 pts |
| Q3 2023 | 25.8 pts |
| Q2 2023 | 25.8 pts |
| Q1 2023 | 25.8 pts |
| Q4 2022 | 25.8 pts |
| Q3 2022 | 25.8 pts |
| Q2 2022 | 25.8 pts |
| Q1 2022 | 25.8 pts |
| Q4 2021 | 25.8 pts |
| Q3 2021 | 25.8 pts |
| Q2 2021 | 25.8 pts |
| Q1 2021 | 25.8 pts |
| Q4 2020 | 25.8 pts |
| Q3 2020 | 25.8 pts |
| Q2 2020 | 25.8 pts |
| Q1 2020 | 25.8 pts |
| Q4 2019 | 25.8 pts |
| Q3 2019 | 25.8 pts |
| Q2 2019 | 25.8 pts |
| Q1 2019 | 25.8 pts |
| Q4 2018 | 25.8 pts |
| Q3 2018 | 25.8 pts |
| Q2 2018 | 25.8 pts |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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