AgenticInvestor

Swaziland Private Sector Credit

Swaziland · Monthly series · EC-SZ-PSC

Latest, August 2026

23.50B SZL

-1.3% from July 2026

Open interactive chartSwaziland Private Sector Credit in the app

26.96B19.68B12.4BSeptember 2016August 2027
History through August 2026, the forecast path to August 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for August 2027: 24.28B SZL, with an 80% interval of 21.44B SZL to 26.70B SZL.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
September 202623.57B SZL23.39B SZL23.76B SZL
October 202623.63B SZL23.05B SZL24.23B SZL
November 202623.70B SZL22.26B SZL25.07B SZL
December 202623.77B SZL22.88B SZL24.59B SZL
January 202723.85B SZL22.36B SZL25.16B SZL
February 202723.92B SZL21.68B SZL25.86B SZL
March 202723.98B SZL21.67B SZL26.02B SZL
April 202724.03B SZL22.08B SZL25.79B SZL
May 202724.10B SZL21.62B SZL26.25B SZL
June 202724.16B SZL20.92B SZL26.96B SZL
July 202724.22B SZL21.83B SZL26.25B SZL
August 202724.28B SZL21.44B SZL26.70B SZL

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+10%Matches the no-change baseline over 7 tests (7 tests, 4 won)
Direction
65%No clear edge over a coin flip (51 of 78 calls right in 7 tests)
Turning points
6 of 26Anticipated some turns (26 turns in 7 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
10% lowerError ratio 0.90; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
4 / 7Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2019-09-01 to 2026-08-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
85%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 97% of the 119 earlier readings since September 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
August 202623.50B SZL
July 202623.80B SZL
June 202623.80B SZL
May 202623.90B SZL
April 202623.30B SZL
March 202623.20B SZL
February 202622.90B SZL
January 202622.10B SZL
December 202522.40B SZL
November 202521.90B SZL
October 202521.70B SZL
September 202521.70B SZL
August 202521.20B SZL
July 202521.50B SZL
June 202521.60B SZL
May 202521.60B SZL
April 202521.30B SZL
March 202521.40B SZL
February 202521.50B SZL
January 202521.00B SZL
December 202420.40B SZL
November 202420.10B SZL
October 202420.10B SZL
September 202419.90B SZL

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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