Tunisia Central Bank Balance Sheet
Tunisia · Monthly series · EC-TN-CBBS
Latest, August 2026
60.54B TND
+3.0% from July 2026
Forecast
Forecast for August 2027: 63.98B TND, with an 80% interval of 59.86B TND to 68.05B TND.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 60.08B TND | 58.98B TND | 61.14B TND |
| October 2026 | 59.62B TND | 57.95B TND | 61.25B TND |
| November 2026 | 59.39B TND | 57.61B TND | 61.04B TND |
| December 2026 | 61.67B TND | 59.83B TND | 63.61B TND |
| January 2027 | 61.87B TND | 59.88B TND | 63.87B TND |
| February 2027 | 61.60B TND | 58.47B TND | 64.68B TND |
| March 2027 | 62.38B TND | 57.66B TND | 67.01B TND |
| April 2027 | 61.85B TND | 56.65B TND | 66.86B TND |
| May 2027 | 62.01B TND | 56.95B TND | 66.82B TND |
| June 2027 | 62.63B TND | 58.70B TND | 66.34B TND |
| July 2027 | 63.88B TND | 60.43B TND | 67.23B TND |
| August 2027 | 63.98B TND | 59.86B TND | 68.05B TND |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +18%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 8 won)
- Direction
- 65%No clear edge over a coin flip (94 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 45 of 77Anticipated most turns (77 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 18% lowerError ratio 0.82; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 8 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-09-01 to 2026-08-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-08-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
That is the highest of the 120 readings since September 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| August 2026 | 60.54B TND |
| July 2026 | 58.76B TND |
| June 2026 | 58.52B TND |
| May 2026 | 59.60B TND |
| April 2026 | 59.06B TND |
| March 2026 | 58.83B TND |
| February 2026 | 57.78B TND |
| January 2026 | 58.01B TND |
| December 2025 | 56.34B TND |
| November 2025 | 54.88B TND |
| October 2025 | 54.43B TND |
| September 2025 | 55.42B TND |
| August 2025 | 55.61B TND |
| July 2025 | 55.04B TND |
| June 2025 | 54.92B TND |
| May 2025 | 53.47B TND |
| April 2025 | 53.13B TND |
| March 2025 | 54.88B TND |
| February 2025 | 53.97B TND |
| January 2025 | 52.45B TND |
| December 2024 | 54.60B TND |
| November 2024 | 51.08B TND |
| October 2024 | 50.34B TND |
| September 2024 | 50.55B TND |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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Also stored for Tunisia
- Tunisia Balance Of Trade
- Tunisia CPI Housing Utilities
- Tunisia CPI Transportation
- Tunisia Capital Flows
- Tunisia Changes In Inventories
- Tunisia Consumer Price Index
- Tunisia Consumer Spending
- Tunisia Corporate Tax Rate
- Tunisia Corruption Index
- Tunisia Corruption Rank
- Tunisia Crude Oil Production
- Tunisia Current Account