Turkey Central Bank Balance Sheet
Turkey · Monthly series · EC-TR-CBBS
Latest, October 2026
14.20T TRY
-0.3% from September 2026
Forecast
Forecast for October 2027: 16.97T TRY, with an 80% interval of 12.28T TRY to 21.71T TRY.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 14.75T TRY | 13.37T TRY | 16.28T TRY |
| December 2026 | 14.91T TRY | 14.28T TRY | 15.59T TRY |
| January 2027 | 15.04T TRY | 13.92T TRY | 16.23T TRY |
| February 2027 | 15.35T TRY | 14.76T TRY | 15.92T TRY |
| March 2027 | 15.59T TRY | 14.35T TRY | 16.74T TRY |
| April 2027 | 15.66T TRY | 14.17T TRY | 17.04T TRY |
| May 2027 | 15.96T TRY | 14.30T TRY | 17.61T TRY |
| June 2027 | 16.16T TRY | 13.95T TRY | 18.51T TRY |
| July 2027 | 16.44T TRY | 13.61T TRY | 19.49T TRY |
| August 2027 | 16.59T TRY | 11.49T TRY | 21.81T TRY |
| September 2027 | 16.74T TRY | 11.14T TRY | 21.98T TRY |
| October 2027 | 16.97T TRY | 12.28T TRY | 21.71T TRY |
AI confidence
Not evaluatedThe serving model has no matching evaluation yet.
Model: Encoder-only transformer, 120M (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- n/aNot evaluated
- Direction
- n/aNot evaluated
- Turning points
- n/aNot evaluated
- This forecast used Encoder-only transformer, 120M (foundation model) as a fallback. Its evaluation must match that producer.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 98% of the 119 earlier readings since November 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| October 2026 | 14.20T TRY |
| September 2026 | 14.25T TRY |
| August 2026 | 14.29T TRY |
| July 2026 | 12.83T TRY |
| June 2026 | 12.31T TRY |
| May 2026 | 12.79T TRY |
| April 2026 | 12.42T TRY |
| March 2026 | 12.58T TRY |
| February 2026 | 13.78T TRY |
| January 2026 | 13.88T TRY |
| December 2025 | 12.40T TRY |
| November 2025 | 12.07T TRY |
| October 2025 | 12.16T TRY |
| September 2025 | 12.03T TRY |
| August 2025 | 11.35T TRY |
| July 2025 | 10.80T TRY |
| June 2025 | 9.78T TRY |
| May 2025 | 9.81T TRY |
| April 2025 | 9.13T TRY |
| March 2025 | 9.36T TRY |
| February 2025 | 9.14T TRY |
| January 2025 | 9.01T TRY |
| December 2024 | 8.59T TRY |
| November 2024 | 8.42T TRY |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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