Turkey Core Consumer Prices

Turkey · Monthly series · EC-TR-CCP

Latest, October 2026

139.0 pts

+2.1% from September 2026

Open interactive chartTurkey Core Consumer Prices in the app

192.510313.47October 2018October 2027
History through October 2026, the forecast path to October 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 167.8 pts, with an 80% interval of 139.5 pts to 192.5 pts.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 2026141.3 pts138.3 pts144.7 pts
December 2026143.6 pts135.6 pts152.6 pts
January 2027146.1 pts140.6 pts152.1 pts
February 2027148.5 pts141.1 pts155.8 pts
March 2027150.8 pts140.8 pts160.5 pts
April 2027153.4 pts141.6 pts165.2 pts
May 2027155.7 pts140.6 pts170.2 pts
June 2027158.0 pts142.4 pts173.1 pts
July 2027160.4 pts143.0 pts176.7 pts
August 2027162.9 pts142.2 pts182.4 pts
September 2027165.5 pts141.3 pts187.9 pts
October 2027167.8 pts139.5 pts192.5 pts

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Limited evidence

At least 6 complete tests are required; 5 are available.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (5 tests, 5 won)
Direction
n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (60 of 60 calls right in 5 tests)
Turning points
n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (0 turns in 5 tests, 5 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
64% lowerError ratio 0.36; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
5 / 5Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2021-11-01 to 2026-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
82%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the highest of the 97 readings since October 2018.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 2026139.0 pts
September 2026136.2 pts
August 2026133.3 pts
July 2026131.0 pts
June 2026128.7 pts
May 2026126.8 pts
April 2026123.2 pts
March 2026119.1 pts
February 2026117.2 pts
January 2026115.4 pts
December 2025110.4 pts
November 2025109.7 pts
October 2025108.4 pts
September 2025105.8 pts
August 2025102.5 pts
July 2025100.8 pts
June 202599.1 pts
May 202597.2 pts
April 202594.9 pts
March 202591.8 pts
February 202590.5 pts
January 202588.9 pts
December 202484.2 pts
November 202483.3 pts

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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