Turkey Money Supply M3
Turkey · Monthly series · EC-TR-M3
Latest, November 2026
32.97T TRY
-0.2% from October 2026
Forecast
Forecast for November 2027: 39.56T TRY, with an 80% interval of 33.50T TRY to 45.31T TRY.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 2026 | 33.64T TRY | 32.83T TRY | 34.51T TRY |
| January 2027 | 34.15T TRY | 32.84T TRY | 35.62T TRY |
| February 2027 | 34.69T TRY | 33.01T TRY | 36.49T TRY |
| March 2027 | 35.25T TRY | 34.28T TRY | 36.24T TRY |
| April 2027 | 35.83T TRY | 34.51T TRY | 37.14T TRY |
| May 2027 | 36.39T TRY | 34.31T TRY | 38.43T TRY |
| June 2027 | 36.86T TRY | 33.86T TRY | 39.79T TRY |
| July 2027 | 37.40T TRY | 33.48T TRY | 41.17T TRY |
| August 2027 | 37.97T TRY | 33.60T TRY | 42.11T TRY |
| September 2027 | 38.54T TRY | 33.91T TRY | 43.03T TRY |
| October 2027 | 39.08T TRY | 33.86T TRY | 44.08T TRY |
| November 2027 | 39.56T TRY | 33.50T TRY | 45.31T TRY |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +65%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 12 won)
- Direction
- 94%Beats a coin flip (136 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 0 of 19Anticipated no turn, as the no-change baseline does (19 turns in 12 tests, 3 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 65% lowerError ratio 0.35; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 12 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-12-01 to 2026-11-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-14 against the cached history through 2026-11-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 99% of the 119 earlier readings since December 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| November 2026 | 32.97T TRY |
| October 2026 | 33.04T TRY |
| September 2026 | 32.63T TRY |
| August 2026 | 32.35T TRY |
| July 2026 | 31.02T TRY |
| June 2026 | 30.04T TRY |
| May 2026 | 29.57T TRY |
| April 2026 | 29.15T TRY |
| March 2026 | 27.70T TRY |
| February 2026 | 28.49T TRY |
| January 2026 | 28.05T TRY |
| December 2025 | 27.17T TRY |
| November 2025 | 25.99T TRY |
| October 2025 | 25.65T TRY |
| September 2025 | 25.14T TRY |
| August 2025 | 24.46T TRY |
| July 2025 | 24.07T TRY |
| June 2025 | 23.36T TRY |
| May 2025 | 22.61T TRY |
| April 2025 | 22.07T TRY |
| March 2025 | 21.50T TRY |
| February 2025 | 20.60T TRY |
| January 2025 | 19.92T TRY |
| December 2024 | 19.36T TRY |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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