AgenticInvestor

Turkey Private Sector Credit

Turkey · Monthly series · EC-TR-PSC

Latest, September 2026

21.88T TRY

+1.8% from August 2026

Open interactive chartTurkey Private Sector Credit in the app

32.58T16.98T1.371TOctober 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 27.14T TRY, with an 80% interval of 21.29T TRY to 32.58T TRY.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 202622.38T TRY21.96T TRY22.89T TRY
November 202622.79T TRY22.04T TRY23.70T TRY
December 202623.24T TRY22.34T TRY24.27T TRY
January 202723.69T TRY22.40T TRY25.04T TRY
February 202724.13T TRY22.21T TRY26.24T TRY
March 202724.63T TRY22.54T TRY26.80T TRY
April 202725.00T TRY22.65T TRY27.37T TRY
May 202725.46T TRY21.68T TRY29.03T TRY
June 202725.88T TRY22.26T TRY29.43T TRY
July 202726.33T TRY21.57T TRY30.96T TRY
August 202726.74T TRY21.38T TRY31.89T TRY
September 202727.14T TRY21.29T TRY32.58T TRY

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+59%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 10 won)
Direction
89%Beats a coin flip (128 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
0 of 15Anticipated no turn, as the no-change baseline does (15 turns in 12 tests, 6 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
59% lowerError ratio 0.41; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
10 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
83%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the highest of the 120 readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 202621.88T TRY
August 202621.50T TRY
July 202621.04T TRY
June 202620.57T TRY
May 202620.03T TRY
April 202619.62T TRY
March 202619.09T TRY
February 202618.56T TRY
January 202618.12T TRY
December 202517.73T TRY
November 202517.07T TRY
October 202516.58T TRY
September 202516.25T TRY
August 202515.91T TRY
July 202515.49T TRY
June 202515.09T TRY
May 202514.66T TRY
April 202514.16T TRY
March 202513.61T TRY
February 202513.05T TRY
January 202512.69T TRY
December 202412.39T TRY
November 202411.97T TRY
October 202411.73T TRY

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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