Trinidad and Tobago Money Supply M2
Trinidad and Tobago · Monthly series · EC-TT-M2
Latest, August 2026
102.56B TTD
+0.7% from July 2026
Forecast
Forecast for August 2027: 102.39B TTD, with an 80% interval of 97.39B TTD to 105.68B TTD.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 102.97B TTD | 102.49B TTD | 103.36B TTD |
| October 2026 | 102.73B TTD | 100.62B TTD | 104.41B TTD |
| November 2026 | 103.01B TTD | 100.89B TTD | 104.65B TTD |
| December 2026 | 103.60B TTD | 101.07B TTD | 105.68B TTD |
| January 2027 | 103.24B TTD | 100.47B TTD | 105.47B TTD |
| February 2027 | 103.23B TTD | 100.42B TTD | 105.37B TTD |
| March 2027 | 103.21B TTD | 100.66B TTD | 105.13B TTD |
| April 2027 | 102.86B TTD | 100.73B TTD | 104.41B TTD |
| May 2027 | 102.73B TTD | 100.41B TTD | 104.37B TTD |
| June 2027 | 102.49B TTD | 98.71B TTD | 105.12B TTD |
| July 2027 | 102.36B TTD | 97.61B TTD | 105.54B TTD |
| August 2027 | 102.39B TTD | 97.39B TTD | 105.68B TTD |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +22%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 8 won)
- Direction
- 80%Beats a coin flip (115 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 54 of 65Anticipated most turns (65 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 22% lowerError ratio 0.78; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 8 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-09-01 to 2026-08-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 80%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-08-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 81% of the 119 earlier readings since September 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| August 2026 | 102.56B TTD |
| July 2026 | 101.83B TTD |
| June 2026 | 101.87B TTD |
| May 2026 | 103.28B TTD |
| April 2026 | 104.23B TTD |
| March 2026 | 104.23B TTD |
| February 2026 | 103.91B TTD |
| January 2026 | 103.78B TTD |
| December 2025 | 104.84B TTD |
| November 2025 | 103.13B TTD |
| October 2025 | 103.12B TTD |
| September 2025 | 103.46B TTD |
| August 2025 | 104.15B TTD |
| July 2025 | 103.52B TTD |
| June 2025 | 103.79B TTD |
| May 2025 | 104.19B TTD |
| April 2025 | 104.79B TTD |
| March 2025 | 103.24B TTD |
| February 2025 | 103.94B TTD |
| January 2025 | 103.91B TTD |
| December 2024 | 102.97B TTD |
| November 2024 | 93.79B TTD |
| October 2024 | 93.17B TTD |
| September 2024 | 102.42B TTD |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
More from Agentic Investor
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Also stored for Trinidad and Tobago
- Trinidad and Tobago Balance Of Trade
- Trinidad and Tobago Banks Balance Sheet
- Trinidad and Tobago CPI Transportation
- Trinidad and Tobago Capacity Utilization
- Trinidad and Tobago Cement Production
- Trinidad and Tobago Consumer Credit
- Trinidad and Tobago Consumer Price Index
- Trinidad and Tobago Corporate Tax Rate
- Trinidad and Tobago Corruption Index
- Trinidad and Tobago Corruption Rank
- Trinidad and Tobago Crude Oil Production
- Trinidad and Tobago Current Account