Tanzania Money Supply M2
Tanzania · Monthly series · EC-TZ-M2
Latest, September 2026
57.33T TZS
+2.2% from August 2026
Forecast
Forecast for September 2027: 69.75T TZS, with an 80% interval of 59.36T TZS to 83.45T TZS.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 58.87T TZS | 57.35T TZS | 60.58T TZS |
| November 2026 | 59.93T TZS | 57.22T TZS | 63.20T TZS |
| December 2026 | 60.76T TZS | 57.63T TZS | 64.57T TZS |
| January 2027 | 61.30T TZS | 58.28T TZS | 64.83T TZS |
| February 2027 | 62.24T TZS | 57.30T TZS | 68.38T TZS |
| March 2027 | 62.78T TZS | 58.91T TZS | 67.56T TZS |
| April 2027 | 63.84T TZS | 58.25T TZS | 70.42T TZS |
| May 2027 | 64.78T TZS | 58.49T TZS | 72.10T TZS |
| June 2027 | 66.75T TZS | 54.97T TZS | 82.00T TZS |
| July 2027 | 67.74T TZS | 60.83T TZS | 76.75T TZS |
| August 2027 | 68.96T TZS | 60.55T TZS | 80.29T TZS |
| September 2027 | 69.75T TZS | 59.36T TZS | 83.45T TZS |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +42%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 12 won)
- Direction
- 99%Beats a coin flip (142 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 13 of 58Anticipated some turns (58 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 42% lowerError ratio 0.58; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 12 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 80%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-09-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
That is the highest of the 120 readings since October 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | 57.33T TZS |
| August 2026 | 56.09T TZS |
| July 2026 | 54.64T TZS |
| June 2026 | 54.25T TZS |
| May 2026 | 51.38T TZS |
| April 2026 | 50.10T TZS |
| March 2026 | 49.25T TZS |
| February 2026 | 48.50T TZS |
| January 2026 | 48.00T TZS |
| December 2025 | 48.14T TZS |
| November 2025 | 46.80T TZS |
| October 2025 | 45.91T TZS |
| September 2025 | 44.52T TZS |
| August 2025 | 43.76T TZS |
| July 2025 | 42.64T TZS |
| June 2025 | 41.71T TZS |
| May 2025 | 39.80T TZS |
| April 2025 | 39.49T TZS |
| March 2025 | 38.54T TZS |
| February 2025 | 37.80T TZS |
| January 2025 | 37.42T TZS |
| December 2024 | 37.14T TZS |
| November 2024 | 37.17T TZS |
| October 2024 | 36.50T TZS |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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Also stored for Tanzania
- Tanzania Balance Of Trade
- Tanzania Bank Lending Rate
- Tanzania Banks Balance Sheet
- Tanzania CPI Housing Utilities
- Tanzania CPI Transportation
- Tanzania Capital Flows
- Tanzania Central Bank Balance Sheet
- Tanzania Consumer Price Index
- Tanzania Core Consumer Prices
- Tanzania Core Inflation Rate YoY
- Tanzania Corporate Tax Rate
- Tanzania Corruption Index