Tanzania Producer Price Index
Tanzania · Quarterly series · EC-TZ-PPI
Latest, Q4 2019
104.4 pts
+1.0% from Q3 2019
Forecast
Forecast for Q4 2020: 106.9 pts, with an 80% interval of 100.3 pts to 112.6 pts.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2020 | 104.8 pts | 101.7 pts | 108.0 pts |
| Q2 2020 | 105.5 pts | 101.1 pts | 109.6 pts |
| Q3 2020 | 106.2 pts | 100.7 pts | 111.0 pts |
| Q4 2020 | 106.9 pts | 100.3 pts | 112.6 pts |
AI confidence
Not evaluatedThe serving model has no matching evaluation yet.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- n/aNot evaluated
- Direction
- n/aNot evaluated
- Turning points
- n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison not readyA forecast and enough history for rolling backtests are required.
Reading
That is the highest of the 28 readings since Q1 2013.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | 104.4 pts |
| Q3 2019 | 103.4 pts |
| Q2 2019 | 102.0 pts |
| Q1 2019 | 103.2 pts |
| Q4 2018 | 100.0 pts |
| Q3 2018 | 97.6 pts |
| Q2 2018 | 94.9 pts |
| Q1 2018 | 92.6 pts |
| Q4 2017 | 90.1 pts |
| Q3 2017 | 91.9 pts |
| Q2 2017 | 90.2 pts |
| Q1 2017 | 90.5 pts |
| Q4 2016 | 88.4 pts |
| Q3 2016 | 90.0 pts |
| Q2 2016 | 91.6 pts |
| Q1 2016 | 88.3 pts |
| Q4 2015 | 88.0 pts |
| Q3 2015 | 85.6 pts |
| Q2 2015 | 79.0 pts |
| Q1 2015 | 82.6 pts |
| Q4 2014 | 82.4 pts |
| Q3 2014 | 81.1 pts |
| Q2 2014 | 82.0 pts |
| Q1 2014 | 79.9 pts |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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Also stored for Tanzania
- Tanzania Balance Of Trade
- Tanzania Bank Lending Rate
- Tanzania Banks Balance Sheet
- Tanzania CPI Housing Utilities
- Tanzania CPI Transportation
- Tanzania Capital Flows
- Tanzania Central Bank Balance Sheet
- Tanzania Consumer Price Index
- Tanzania Core Consumer Prices
- Tanzania Core Inflation Rate YoY
- Tanzania Corporate Tax Rate
- Tanzania Corruption Index