Ukraine GDP From Public Administration
Ukraine · Quarterly series · EC-UA-GDPPA
Latest, Q2 2026
119.07B UAH
+12.1% from Q1 2026
Forecast
No forecast is cached this cycle.
AI confidence
No forecast yetEvidence will appear when a forecast and its backtests are available.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison not readyA forecast and enough history for rolling backtests are required.
Reading
It is above 69% of the 35 earlier readings since Q3 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 119.07B UAH |
| Q1 2026 | 106.19B UAH |
| Q4 2025 | 124.23B UAH |
| Q3 2025 | 159.79B UAH |
| Q2 2025 | 115.20B UAH |
| Q1 2025 | 354.21B UAH |
| Q4 2024 | 375.46B UAH |
| Q3 2024 | 138.77B UAH |
| Q4 2023 | 414.99B UAH |
| Q3 2023 | 360.49B UAH |
| Q1 2023 | 320.75B UAH |
| Q4 2022 | 396.76B UAH |
| Q2 2022 | 283.36B UAH |
| Q1 2022 | 120.38B UAH |
| Q4 2021 | 32.39B UAH |
| Q3 2021 | 29.38B UAH |
| Q2 2021 | 30.15B UAH |
| Q1 2021 | 30.32B UAH |
| Q4 2020 | 33.00B UAH |
| Q3 2020 | 30.78B UAH |
| Q2 2020 | 30.63B UAH |
| Q1 2020 | 29.16B UAH |
| Q4 2019 | 31.02B UAH |
| Q3 2019 | 13.42B UAH |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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- Ukraine Consumer Confidence Index
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