AgenticInvestor

Ukraine Money Supply M2

Ukraine · Monthly series · EC-UA-M2

Latest, July 2026

4.17T UAH

+0.8% from June 2026

Open interactive chartUkraine Money Supply M2 in the app

4.807T2.926T1.045TAugust 2016July 2027
History through July 2026, the forecast path to July 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for July 2027: 4.58T UAH, with an 80% interval of 4.34T UAH to 4.81T UAH.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
August 20264.21T UAH4.11T UAH4.31T UAH
September 20264.23T UAH4.13T UAH4.34T UAH
October 20264.27T UAH4.20T UAH4.35T UAH
November 20264.30T UAH4.18T UAH4.42T UAH
December 20264.38T UAH4.22T UAH4.56T UAH
January 20274.39T UAH4.22T UAH4.56T UAH
February 20274.41T UAH4.24T UAH4.58T UAH
March 20274.43T UAH4.22T UAH4.64T UAH
April 20274.48T UAH4.34T UAH4.61T UAH
May 20274.51T UAH4.26T UAH4.75T UAH
June 20274.55T UAH4.32T UAH4.79T UAH
July 20274.58T UAH4.34T UAH4.81T UAH

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+57%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 12 won)
Direction
93%Beats a coin flip (134 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
14 of 45Anticipated some turns (45 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
57% lowerError ratio 0.43; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
12 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-08-01 to 2026-07-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the highest of the 120 readings since August 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
July 20264.17T UAH
June 20264.14T UAH
May 20264.10T UAH
April 20264.05T UAH
March 20263.95T UAH
February 20263.97T UAH
January 20263.96T UAH
December 20254.02T UAH
November 20253.77T UAH
October 20253.73T UAH
September 20253.66T UAH
August 20253.61T UAH
July 20253.60T UAH
June 20253.59T UAH
May 20253.54T UAH
April 20253.53T UAH
March 20253.45T UAH
February 20253.42T UAH
January 20253.41T UAH
December 20243.49T UAH
November 20243.32T UAH
October 20243.30T UAH
September 20243.26T UAH
August 20243.27T UAH

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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