AgenticInvestor

Ukraine Producer Prices Index YoY

Ukraine · Monthly series · EC-UA-PPIYY

Latest, September 2026

38.5%

+1.10pp from August 2026

Open interactive chartUkraine Producer Prices Index YoY in the app

87.8238.1-11.63October 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 27.9%, with an 80% interval of 2.4% to 65.2%.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 202639.6%28.9%51.5%
November 202639.2%21.5%58.9%
December 202638.4%12.5%69.1%
January 202736.5%3.1%78.9%
February 202734.4%-3.7%81.1%
March 202731.8%-11.6%87.8%
April 202730.3%-7.0%79.0%
May 202728.4%2.7%63.7%
June 202728.2%0.2%67.2%
July 202727.8%-4.5%73.2%
August 202727.7%-1.4%70.4%
September 202727.9%2.4%65.2%

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+2%Matches the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 7 won)
Direction
61%No clear edge over a coin flip (88 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
16 of 53Anticipated some turns (53 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
2% lowerError ratio 0.98; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
7 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 79% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 202638.5%
August 202637.4%
July 202642.6%
June 202639.3%
May 202645.3%
April 202640.3%
March 202636.7%
February 202634.6%
January 202611.3%
December 20258.2%
November 20259.8%
October 20255.3%
September 20251.2%
August 20257.1%
July 20254.6%
June 202513.0%
May 202528.7%
April 202541.4%
March 202551.7%
February 202536.9%
January 202532.4%
December 202427.6%
November 202424.0%
October 202424.5%

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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