United States Medical Doctors

United States · Annual series · EC-US-MD

Latest, 2021

2.8 pts

+1.1% from 2020

Open interactive chartUnited States Medical Doctors in the app

2.8842.5772.2719932024
History through 2021, the forecast path to 2024 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for 2024: 2.8 pts, with an 80% interval of 2.8 pts to 2.9 pts.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
20222.8 pts2.8 pts2.8 pts
20232.8 pts2.8 pts2.9 pts
20242.8 pts2.8 pts2.9 pts

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Needs refresh

The data refresh is due. Confidence will be reassessed against the refreshed history.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
n/aNot evaluated
Direction
n/aNot evaluated
Turning points
n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the highest of the 10 readings since 2012.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
20212.8 pts
20202.8 pts
20192.8 pts
20182.7 pts
20172.7 pts
20162.7 pts
20152.7 pts
20142.7 pts
20132.7 pts
20122.6 pts
20112.6 pts
20102.6 pts
20092.6 pts
20082.6 pts
20072.6 pts
20062.6 pts
20052.6 pts
20042.5 pts
20032.5 pts
20022.5 pts
20012.5 pts
20002.5 pts
19992.4 pts
19982.4 pts

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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