United States Residential Property Prices
United States · Quarterly series · EC-US-RPP
Latest, Q2 2026
1.2 pts
+71.7% from Q1 2026
Forecast
Forecast for Q2 2027: 2.6 pts, with an 80% interval of -5.8 pts to 12.5 pts.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.5 pts | -1.8 pts | 5.0 pts |
| Q4 2026 | 1.9 pts | -4.9 pts | 9.4 pts |
| Q1 2027 | 2.3 pts | -6.6 pts | 12.7 pts |
| Q2 2027 | 2.6 pts | -5.8 pts | 12.5 pts |
AI confidence
Needs refreshThe data refresh is due. Confidence will be reassessed against the refreshed history.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- n/aNot evaluated
- Direction
- n/aNot evaluated
- Turning points
- n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 5% of the 39 earlier readings since Q3 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 1.2 pts |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7 pts |
| Q4 2025 | 1.0 pts |
| Q3 2025 | 1.4 pts |
| Q2 2025 | 2.0 pts |
| Q1 2025 | 2.8 pts |
| Q4 2024 | 3.5 pts |
| Q3 2024 | 3.7 pts |
| Q2 2024 | 4.7 pts |
| Q1 2024 | 5.3 pts |
| Q4 2023 | 5.4 pts |
| Q3 2023 | 4.6 pts |
| Q2 2023 | 2.2 pts |
| Q1 2023 | 3.6 pts |
| Q4 2022 | 6.8 pts |
| Q3 2022 | 10.6 pts |
| Q2 2022 | 15.8 pts |
| Q1 2022 | 18.0 pts |
| Q4 2021 | 16.9 pts |
| Q3 2021 | 16.7 pts |
| Q2 2021 | 15.6 pts |
| Q1 2021 | 11.3 pts |
| Q4 2020 | 9.5 pts |
| Q3 2020 | 7.2 pts |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
More from Agentic Investor
- Open United States Residential Property Prices in the app: the interactive chart and a fresh forecast
- World and commodity series: every stored series
- Vietnam indicators
Also stored for United States
- United States 15 Year Mortgage Rate
- United States 30 Year Mortgage Rate
- United States ADP Employment Change
- United States API Crude Imports
- United States API Crude Oil Stock Change
- United States API Crude Runs
- United States API Cushing Number
- United States API Distillate Stocks
- United States API Gasoline Stocks
- United States API Heating Oil
- United States API Product Imports
- United States Asylum Applications