United States Residential Property Prices

United States · Quarterly series · EC-US-RPP

Latest, Q2 2026

1.2 pts

+71.7% from Q1 2026

Open interactive chartUnited States Residential Property Prices in the app

18.020.608-16.8Q3 1996Q2 2027
History through Q2 2026, the forecast path to Q2 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for Q2 2027: 2.6 pts, with an 80% interval of -5.8 pts to 12.5 pts.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
Q3 20261.5 pts-1.8 pts5.0 pts
Q4 20261.9 pts-4.9 pts9.4 pts
Q1 20272.3 pts-6.6 pts12.7 pts
Q2 20272.6 pts-5.8 pts12.5 pts

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Needs refresh

The data refresh is due. Confidence will be reassessed against the refreshed history.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
n/aNot evaluated
Direction
n/aNot evaluated
Turning points
n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 5% of the 39 earlier readings since Q3 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
Q2 20261.2 pts
Q1 20260.7 pts
Q4 20251.0 pts
Q3 20251.4 pts
Q2 20252.0 pts
Q1 20252.8 pts
Q4 20243.5 pts
Q3 20243.7 pts
Q2 20244.7 pts
Q1 20245.3 pts
Q4 20235.4 pts
Q3 20234.6 pts
Q2 20232.2 pts
Q1 20233.6 pts
Q4 20226.8 pts
Q3 202210.6 pts
Q2 202215.8 pts
Q1 202218.0 pts
Q4 202116.9 pts
Q3 202116.7 pts
Q2 202115.6 pts
Q1 202111.3 pts
Q4 20209.5 pts
Q3 20207.2 pts

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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