AgenticInvestor

Uruguay Government Revenues

Uruguay · Monthly series · EC-UY-GR

Latest, September 2026

63.59B UYU

+15.9% from August 2026

Open interactive chartUruguay Government Revenues in the app

83.69B54.75B25.81BOctober 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 67.11B UYU, with an 80% interval of 61.04B UYU to 73.84B UYU.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 202663.87B UYU56.03B UYU73.23B UYU
November 202663.24B UYU59.90B UYU67.41B UYU
December 202666.85B UYU61.38B UYU73.24B UYU
January 202767.79B UYU64.66B UYU71.59B UYU
February 202759.93B UYU53.70B UYU66.43B UYU
March 202764.05B UYU56.43B UYU73.02B UYU
April 202767.31B UYU52.70B UYU83.69B UYU
May 202763.69B UYU53.08B UYU75.54B UYU
June 202760.73B UYU55.40B UYU66.58B UYU
July 202761.54B UYU56.45B UYU67.12B UYU
August 202764.40B UYU55.44B UYU74.11B UYU
September 202767.11B UYU61.04B UYU73.84B UYU

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+34%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 11 won)
Direction
83%Beats a coin flip (119 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
60 of 76Anticipated most turns (76 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
34% lowerError ratio 0.66; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
11 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
80%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 97% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 202663.59B UYU
August 202654.87B UYU
July 202658.89B UYU
June 202653.78B UYU
May 202656.37B UYU
April 202671.83B UYU
March 202660.06B UYU
February 202655.42B UYU
January 202663.06B UYU
December 202567.20B UYU
November 202556.74B UYU
October 202557.55B UYU
September 202562.35B UYU
August 202564.41B UYU
July 202553.23B UYU
June 202549.85B UYU
May 202553.86B UYU
April 202556.01B UYU
March 202554.20B UYU
February 202554.42B UYU
January 202562.38B UYU
December 202459.62B UYU
November 202455.33B UYU
October 202459.02B UYU

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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