USD/JPY
Foreign exchange · Monthly series · FX-USDJPY
Latest, October 2026
157.50 JPY
+0.1% from September 2026
Forecast
No forecast is cached this cycle.
AI confidence
No forecast yetEvidence will appear when a forecast and its backtests are available.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison not readyA forecast and enough history for rolling backtests are required.
Reading
It is above 95% of the 119 earlier readings since November 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| October 2026 | 157.50 JPY |
| September 2026 | 157.35 JPY |
| August 2026 | 159.72 JPY |
| July 2026 | 157.40 JPY |
| June 2026 | 162.57 JPY |
| May 2026 | 159.25 JPY |
| April 2026 | 156.56 JPY |
| March 2026 | 158.68 JPY |
| February 2026 | 156.02 JPY |
| January 2026 | 154.76 JPY |
| December 2025 | 156.65 JPY |
| November 2025 | 156.13 JPY |
| October 2025 | 153.94 JPY |
| September 2025 | 147.84 JPY |
| August 2025 | 146.99 JPY |
| July 2025 | 150.71 JPY |
| June 2025 | 144.02 JPY |
| May 2025 | 144.02 JPY |
| April 2025 | 142.94 JPY |
| March 2025 | 149.89 JPY |
| February 2025 | 150.59 JPY |
| January 2025 | 155.18 JPY |
| December 2024 | 157.10 JPY |
| November 2024 | 149.74 JPY |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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