Vietnam Technological & Commercial Joint Stock Bank
Equity · Monthly series · EQ-TCB.HOSE
Latest, October 2026
21,600 VND
-0.5% from September 2026
Forecast
Forecast for October 2027: 21,033 VND, with an 80% interval of 6,807 VND to 35,683 VND.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 21,591 VND | 20,512 VND | 22,700 VND |
| December 2026 | 21,555 VND | 19,957 VND | 23,191 VND |
| January 2027 | 21,509 VND | 19,507 VND | 23,503 VND |
| February 2027 | 21,454 VND | 18,968 VND | 23,978 VND |
| March 2027 | 21,408 VND | 16,806 VND | 26,020 VND |
| April 2027 | 21,352 VND | 16,843 VND | 25,887 VND |
| May 2027 | 21,307 VND | 12,527 VND | 30,265 VND |
| June 2027 | 21,240 VND | 11,479 VND | 31,355 VND |
| July 2027 | 21,177 VND | 13,117 VND | 29,604 VND |
| August 2027 | 21,135 VND | 13,824 VND | 28,685 VND |
| September 2027 | 21,089 VND | 9,612 VND | 32,814 VND |
| October 2027 | 21,033 VND | 6,807 VND | 35,683 VND |
AI confidence
Limited evidenceAt least 6 complete tests are required; 5 are available.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (5 tests, 2 won)
- Direction
- n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (24 of 60 calls right in 5 tests)
- Turning points
- n/aToo few tests (5 tests, 6 needed) (29 turns in 5 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 4% higherError ratio 1.04; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 2 / 5Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2021-11-01 to 2026-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 90%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-14 against the cached history through 2026-10-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 86% of the 100 earlier readings since June 2018.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| October 2026 | 21,600 VND |
| September 2026 | 21,700 VND |
| August 2026 | 22,267 VND |
| July 2026 | 19,300 VND |
| June 2026 | 22,333 VND |
| May 2026 | 21,833 VND |
| April 2026 | 22,567 VND |
| March 2026 | 20,467 VND |
| February 2026 | 24,167 VND |
| January 2026 | 23,933 VND |
| December 2025 | 23,267 VND |
| November 2025 | 22,500 VND |
| October 2025 | 23,400 VND |
| September 2025 | 25,233 VND |
| August 2025 | 26,400 VND |
| July 2025 | 22,667 VND |
| June 2025 | 22,800 VND |
| May 2025 | 20,300 VND |
| April 2025 | 17,533 VND |
| March 2025 | 18,333 VND |
| February 2025 | 17,400 VND |
| January 2025 | 16,500 VND |
| December 2024 | 16,433 VND |
| November 2024 | 15,733 VND |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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