Vietcap Securities Joint Stock Company
Equity · Monthly series · EQ-VCI.HOSE
Latest, October 2026
18,500 VND
-4.4% from September 2026
Forecast
Forecast for October 2027: 17,939 VND, with an 80% interval of 2,994 VND to 34,301 VND.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 18,349 VND | 14,747 VND | 22,440 VND |
| December 2026 | 18,267 VND | 14,319 VND | 22,586 VND |
| January 2027 | 18,201 VND | 10,987 VND | 25,983 VND |
| February 2027 | 18,160 VND | 15,230 VND | 21,406 VND |
| March 2027 | 18,129 VND | 9,153 VND | 27,908 VND |
| April 2027 | 18,087 VND | 5,794 VND | 31,619 VND |
| May 2027 | 18,075 VND | 3,361 VND | 34,012 VND |
| June 2027 | 18,062 VND | 2,881 VND | 34,589 VND |
| July 2027 | 18,045 VND | 2,169 VND | 35,316 VND |
| August 2027 | 18,027 VND | 1,299 VND | 36,256 VND |
| September 2027 | 17,990 VND | -103 VND | 37,702 VND |
| October 2027 | 17,939 VND | 2,994 VND | 34,301 VND |
AI confidence
Weak evidenceThe serving forecast made larger errors than the no-change baseline in these tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- -10%Trails the no-change baseline over 6 tests (6 tests, 2 won)
- Direction
- 40%No clear edge over a coin flip (29 of 72 calls right in 6 tests)
- Turning points
- 3 of 32Anticipated some turns (32 turns in 6 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 10% higherError ratio 1.10; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 2 / 6Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2020-11-01 to 2026-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 83%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-10-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 53% of the 111 earlier readings since July 2017.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| October 2026 | 18,500 VND |
| September 2026 | 19,350 VND |
| August 2026 | 22,850 VND |
| July 2026 | 21,300 VND |
| June 2026 | 24,350 VND |
| May 2026 | 24,650 VND |
| April 2026 | 26,200 VND |
| March 2026 | 26,700 VND |
| February 2026 | 28,518 VND |
| January 2026 | 27,148 VND |
| December 2025 | 26,148 VND |
| November 2025 | 25,000 VND |
| October 2025 | 27,481 VND |
| September 2025 | 32,185 VND |
| August 2025 | 35,741 VND |
| July 2025 | 31,889 VND |
| June 2025 | 26,481 VND |
| May 2025 | 26,667 VND |
| April 2025 | 27,407 VND |
| March 2025 | 28,370 VND |
| February 2025 | 27,000 VND |
| January 2025 | 25,481 VND |
| December 2024 | 24,593 VND |
| November 2024 | 24,518 VND |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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