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Vietnam FDI YoY YTD

Capital & Markets · Monthly series · VNFDI

Latest, October 2026

13.1%

+0.98pp from September 2026

Open interactive chartFDI YoY YTD in the terminal

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 11.7%, with an 80% interval of 3.0% to 20.6%.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 202612.9%11.4%14.4%
December 202613.0%11.5%14.4%
January 202712.9%-0.1%24.8%
February 202712.8%3.9%21.5%
March 202712.7%4.9%20.0%
April 202712.6%2.4%22.3%
May 202712.4%6.0%18.7%
June 202712.3%3.8%20.7%
July 202712.2%4.8%19.5%
August 202712.0%3.7%20.5%
September 202711.8%0.6%23.5%
October 202711.7%3.0%20.6%

Model: TiRex + Toto ensemble (foundation models). Forecast generated 2026-11-03.

AI confidence

Limited evidence

Complete backtests for this serving model and forecast horizon are not available.

Model: TiRex + Toto ensemble (foundation models)

How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Commentary

FDI YoY YTD to ease to 12.94% in Nov 2026 from 13.05% in Oct 2026, then drift lower to 11.75% by Oct 2027.

Trajectory: 13.05% (Oct 2026) → 12.94% (Nov 2026) then to 11.75% (Oct 2027); powered by large electronics and semiconductor projects (Samsung, Intel, LG).

Trajectory: 9.55% (May 2026) → 13.05% (Oct 2026); earlier surge came from nearshoring, FTAs and China-to-Vietnam manufacturing reallocation.

Trajectory: Jan 2027 80% CI spans -0.10%–24.78%, reflecting timing risk from global electronics demand and project phasing (BYD, Samsung).

AI-generated commentary on the cached forecast, 2026-11-03.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 202613.1%
September 202612.1%
August 202612.3%
July 202611.8%
June 202611.2%
May 20269.6%
April 20269.8%
March 20269.1%
February 20268.8%
January 202611.3%
December 20259.0%
November 20258.9%
October 20258.8%
September 20258.7%
August 20258.8%
July 20258.4%
June 20258.1%
May 20257.9%
April 20257.3%
March 20257.8%
February 20255.4%
January 20252.0%
December 20249.4%
November 20247.1%

Source

Data: ECONOMICS feed via TradingView.

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