Vietnam VN-Index
Capital & Markets · Monthly series · VNINDEX
Latest, November 2026
1,710.7 pts
-1.8% from October 2026
Forecast
Forecast for December 2027: 1,616.9 pts, with an 80% interval of 1,319.0 pts to 1,922.9 pts.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 2027 | 1,697.5 pts | 1,636.3 pts | 1,759.4 pts |
| February 2027 | 1,688.4 pts | 1,567.8 pts | 1,810.5 pts |
| March 2027 | 1,681.5 pts | 1,455.4 pts | 1,906.2 pts |
| April 2027 | 1,671.6 pts | 1,488.6 pts | 1,854.1 pts |
| May 2027 | 1,660.6 pts | 1,487.8 pts | 1,829.8 pts |
| June 2027 | 1,650.9 pts | 1,368.7 pts | 1,932.3 pts |
| July 2027 | 1,645.6 pts | 1,269.7 pts | 2,018.7 pts |
| August 2027 | 1,639.2 pts | 1,239.6 pts | 2,037.8 pts |
| September 2027 | 1,633.5 pts | 1,231.0 pts | 2,034.9 pts |
| October 2027 | 1,627.0 pts | 1,239.0 pts | 2,023.4 pts |
| November 2027 | 1,624.5 pts | 1,295.6 pts | 1,956.4 pts |
| December 2027 | 1,616.9 pts | 1,319.0 pts | 1,922.9 pts |
AI confidence
Limited evidenceComplete backtests for this serving model and forecast horizon are not available.
Model: TiRex + Toto ensemble (foundation models)
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Commentary
The headline: VN-Index to fall to 1,616.92 by Dec 2027, down -5.5% versus Nov 2026 (1,710.72).
Forecast 1,616.92 vs Nov 2026 1,710.72, driven by persistent foreign net-selling and heavy bank large-cap losses (VCB, VPB, BID).
From 1,860.01 (Jun 2026) to forecast 1,616.92, margin calls and weak breadth amplified recent volatility and sharp session drops.
At -5.5% versus Nov 2026, forecast reflects electronics-export sensitivity (FDI ~76% of exports) amid global tech demand softness.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| November 2026 | 1,710.7 pts |
| October 2026 | 1,741.6 pts |
| September 2026 | 1,768.6 pts |
| August 2026 | 1,832.1 pts |
| July 2026 | 1,735.8 pts |
| June 2026 | 1,860.0 pts |
| May 2026 | 1,863.5 pts |
| April 2026 | 1,854.1 pts |
| March 2026 | 1,674.5 pts |
| February 2026 | 1,880.3 pts |
| January 2026 | 1,829.0 pts |
| December 2025 | 1,784.5 pts |
| November 2025 | 1,691.0 pts |
| October 2025 | 1,639.7 pts |
| September 2025 | 1,661.7 pts |
| August 2025 | 1,682.2 pts |
| July 2025 | 1,502.5 pts |
| June 2025 | 1,376.1 pts |
| May 2025 | 1,332.6 pts |
| April 2025 | 1,226.3 pts |
| March 2025 | 1,306.9 pts |
| February 2025 | 1,305.4 pts |
| January 2025 | 1,265.1 pts |
| December 2024 | 1,266.8 pts |
Source
Data: HOSE feed via TradingView.
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