United Arab Emirates Foreign Exchange Reserves
United Arab Emirates · Monthly series · EC-AE-FER
Latest, September 2026
942.54B AED
-1.6% from August 2026
Forecast
Forecast for September 2027: 971.73B AED, with an 80% interval of 660.05B AED to 1.24T AED.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 941.14B AED | 912.45B AED | 971.41B AED |
| November 2026 | 948.35B AED | 842.97B AED | 1.06T AED |
| December 2026 | 962.41B AED | 784.29B AED | 1.15T AED |
| January 2027 | 965.41B AED | 777.72B AED | 1.15T AED |
| February 2027 | 973.86B AED | 708.32B AED | 1.24T AED |
| March 2027 | 982.42B AED | 748.05B AED | 1.21T AED |
| April 2027 | 987.71B AED | 726.24B AED | 1.24T AED |
| May 2027 | 988.39B AED | 733.93B AED | 1.23T AED |
| June 2027 | 986.43B AED | 703.56B AED | 1.25T AED |
| July 2027 | 983.30B AED | 694.67B AED | 1.25T AED |
| August 2027 | 979.92B AED | 712.16B AED | 1.22T AED |
| September 2027 | 971.73B AED | 660.05B AED | 1.24T AED |
AI confidence
Mixed evidenceThe tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +6%Matches the no-change baseline over 11 tests (11 tests, 5 won)
- Direction
- 58%No clear edge over a coin flip (77 of 132 calls right in 11 tests)
- Turning points
- 5 of 51Anticipated some turns (51 turns in 11 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 6% lowerError ratio 0.94; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 5 / 11Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2015-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 79%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-09-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 89% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | 942.54B AED |
| August 2026 | 957.98B AED |
| July 2026 | 932.20B AED |
| June 2026 | 930.63B AED |
| May 2026 | 967.11B AED |
| April 2026 | 1.00T AED |
| March 2026 | 1.00T AED |
| February 2026 | 1.10T AED |
| January 2026 | 1.08T AED |
| December 2025 | 1.06T AED |
| November 2025 | 1.01T AED |
| October 2025 | 991.60B AED |
| September 2025 | 977.00B AED |
| August 2025 | 972.70B AED |
| July 2025 | 969.00B AED |
| June 2025 | 969.30B AED |
| May 2025 | 939.10B AED |
| April 2025 | 937.50B AED |
| March 2025 | 935.15B AED |
| February 2025 | 903.73B AED |
| January 2025 | 873.46B AED |
| December 2024 | 860.45B AED |
| November 2024 | 825.79B AED |
| October 2024 | 815.29B AED |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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Also stored for United Arab Emirates
- United Arab Emirates Balance Of Trade
- United Arab Emirates Banks Balance Sheet
- United Arab Emirates CO2 Emissions
- United Arab Emirates CPI Housing Utilities
- United Arab Emirates CPI Transportation
- United Arab Emirates Central Bank Balance Sheet
- United Arab Emirates Changes In Inventories
- United Arab Emirates Consumer Confidence Index
- United Arab Emirates Consumer Credit
- United Arab Emirates Consumer Price Index
- United Arab Emirates Consumer Spending
- United Arab Emirates Corporate Tax Rate