AgenticInvestor

United Arab Emirates Money Supply M1

United Arab Emirates · Monthly series · EC-AE-M1

Latest, September 2026

1.02T AED

-1.6% from August 2026

Open interactive chartUnited Arab Emirates Money Supply M1 in the app

1.154T813.3B472.4BOctober 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 1.01T AED, with an 80% interval of 845.41B AED to 1.15T AED.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 20261.02T AED1.01T AED1.03T AED
November 20261.02T AED1.00T AED1.04T AED
December 20261.02T AED1.01T AED1.04T AED
January 20271.03T AED1.00T AED1.05T AED
February 20271.03T AED997.91B AED1.07T AED
March 20271.04T AED966.78B AED1.10T AED
April 20271.03T AED969.56B AED1.09T AED
May 20271.03T AED943.72B AED1.11T AED
June 20271.02T AED950.77B AED1.09T AED
July 20271.02T AED936.82B AED1.09T AED
August 20271.01T AED902.39B AED1.11T AED
September 20271.01T AED845.41B AED1.15T AED

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+46%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 11 won)
Direction
92%Beats a coin flip (133 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
16 of 50Anticipated some turns (50 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
46% lowerError ratio 0.54; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
11 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
83%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 87% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 20261.02T AED
August 20261.04T AED
July 20261.05T AED
June 20261.04T AED
May 20261.05T AED
April 20261.06T AED
March 20261.07T AED
February 20261.10T AED
January 20261.08T AED
December 20251.07T AED
November 20251.05T AED
October 20251.07T AED
September 20251.03T AED
August 20251.03T AED
July 20251.03T AED
June 20251.03T AED
May 20251.02T AED
April 20251.01T AED
March 2025986.21B AED
February 2025982.49B AED
January 2025965.22B AED
December 2024946.49B AED
November 2024924.78B AED
October 2024909.91B AED

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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