United Arab Emirates Money Supply M2
United Arab Emirates · Monthly series · EC-AE-M2
Latest, August 2026
2.92T AED
+0.7% from July 2026
Forecast
Forecast for August 2027: 3.12T AED, with an 80% interval of 2.77T AED to 3.45T AED.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 2.94T AED | 2.90T AED | 2.98T AED |
| October 2026 | 2.95T AED | 2.90T AED | 3.01T AED |
| November 2026 | 2.97T AED | 2.91T AED | 3.02T AED |
| December 2026 | 3.00T AED | 2.89T AED | 3.11T AED |
| January 2027 | 3.03T AED | 2.89T AED | 3.16T AED |
| February 2027 | 3.05T AED | 2.90T AED | 3.20T AED |
| March 2027 | 3.07T AED | 2.87T AED | 3.27T AED |
| April 2027 | 3.08T AED | 2.91T AED | 3.24T AED |
| May 2027 | 3.10T AED | 2.91T AED | 3.27T AED |
| June 2027 | 3.12T AED | 2.88T AED | 3.35T AED |
| July 2027 | 3.12T AED | 2.81T AED | 3.42T AED |
| August 2027 | 3.12T AED | 2.77T AED | 3.45T AED |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +43%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 11 won)
- Direction
- 88%Beats a coin flip (127 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 13 of 48Anticipated some turns (48 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 43% lowerError ratio 0.57; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 11 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-09-01 to 2026-08-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 80%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-08-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
That is the highest of the 120 readings since September 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| August 2026 | 2.92T AED |
| July 2026 | 2.90T AED |
| June 2026 | 2.88T AED |
| May 2026 | 2.85T AED |
| April 2026 | 2.87T AED |
| March 2026 | 2.87T AED |
| February 2026 | 2.86T AED |
| January 2026 | 2.79T AED |
| December 2025 | 2.75T AED |
| November 2025 | 2.67T AED |
| October 2025 | 2.63T AED |
| September 2025 | 2.59T AED |
| August 2025 | 2.56T AED |
| July 2025 | 2.55T AED |
| June 2025 | 2.53T AED |
| May 2025 | 2.47T AED |
| April 2025 | 2.44T AED |
| March 2025 | 2.44T AED |
| February 2025 | 2.36T AED |
| January 2025 | 2.32T AED |
| December 2024 | 2.32T AED |
| November 2024 | 2.28T AED |
| October 2024 | 2.27T AED |
| September 2024 | 2.25T AED |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
More from Agentic Investor
- Open United Arab Emirates Money Supply M2 in the app: the interactive chart and a fresh forecast
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Also stored for United Arab Emirates
- United Arab Emirates Balance Of Trade
- United Arab Emirates Banks Balance Sheet
- United Arab Emirates CO2 Emissions
- United Arab Emirates CPI Housing Utilities
- United Arab Emirates CPI Transportation
- United Arab Emirates Central Bank Balance Sheet
- United Arab Emirates Changes In Inventories
- United Arab Emirates Consumer Confidence Index
- United Arab Emirates Consumer Credit
- United Arab Emirates Consumer Price Index
- United Arab Emirates Consumer Spending
- United Arab Emirates Corporate Tax Rate