China Industrial Production YoY

China · Monthly series · EC-CN-IPYY

Latest, September 2026

5.5%

+0.30pp from August 2026

Open interactive chartChina Industrial Production YoY in the app

35.110.8-13.5October 2015September 2026
History through September 2026.

Forecast

No forecast is cached this cycle.

AI confidence

No forecast yet

Evidence will appear when a forecast and its backtests are available.

How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Model comparison

Comparison not readyA forecast and enough history for rolling backtests are required.

Reading

It is above 47% of the 109 earlier readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 20265.5%
August 20265.2%
July 20264.5%
June 20265.3%
May 20264.5%
April 20264.1%
March 20265.7%
February 20266.3%
December 20255.2%
November 20254.8%
October 20254.9%
September 20256.5%
August 20255.2%
July 20255.7%
June 20256.8%
May 20255.8%
April 20256.1%
March 20257.7%
February 20255.9%
December 20246.2%
November 20245.4%
October 20245.3%
September 20245.4%
August 20244.5%

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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