AgenticInvestor

Ireland Gross Fixed Capital Formation

Ireland · Quarterly series · EC-IE-GFCF

Latest, Q2 2026

31.88B EUR

-1.6% from Q1 2026

Open interactive chartIreland Gross Fixed Capital Formation in the app

89.17B40.84B-7.496BQ3 1996Q2 2027
History through Q2 2026, the forecast path to Q2 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for Q2 2027: 31.06B EUR, with an 80% interval of -7.50B EUR to 77.84B EUR.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
Q3 202631.40B EUR16.22B EUR47.03B EUR
Q4 202631.36B EUR8.80B EUR56.15B EUR
Q1 202731.20B EUR20.22B EUR43.63B EUR
Q2 202731.06B EUR-7.50B EUR77.84B EUR

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+5%Matches the no-change baseline over 8 tests (8 tests, 4 won)
Direction
66%No clear edge over a coin flip (21 of 32 calls right in 8 tests)
Turning points
5 of 17Anticipated some turns (17 turns in 8 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
5% lowerError ratio 0.95; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
4 / 8Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2018-09-01 to 2026-06-014 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 74% of the 39 earlier readings since Q3 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
Q2 202631.88B EUR
Q1 202632.40B EUR
Q4 202531.65B EUR
Q3 202531.54B EUR
Q2 202527.91B EUR
Q1 202543.95B EUR
Q4 202425.42B EUR
Q3 202427.24B EUR
Q2 20248.29B EUR
Q1 202423.76B EUR
Q4 202336.83B EUR
Q3 202322.37B EUR
Q2 202323.18B EUR
Q1 202322.41B EUR
Q4 202227.28B EUR
Q3 202227.91B EUR
Q2 202225.42B EUR
Q1 202221.41B EUR
Q4 202138.87B EUR
Q3 202119.43B EUR
Q2 202119.95B EUR
Q1 202118.54B EUR
Q4 202038.09B EUR
Q3 202025.38B EUR

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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