Israel Banks Balance Sheet
Israel · Monthly series · EC-IL-BBS
Latest, August 2026
3.32T ILS
+1.2% from July 2026
Forecast
Forecast for August 2027: 3.57T ILS, with an 80% interval of 3.33T ILS to 3.80T ILS.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 3.34T ILS | 3.26T ILS | 3.43T ILS |
| October 2026 | 3.36T ILS | 3.30T ILS | 3.44T ILS |
| November 2026 | 3.38T ILS | 3.32T ILS | 3.45T ILS |
| December 2026 | 3.40T ILS | 3.24T ILS | 3.58T ILS |
| January 2027 | 3.43T ILS | 3.31T ILS | 3.56T ILS |
| February 2027 | 3.45T ILS | 3.31T ILS | 3.59T ILS |
| March 2027 | 3.46T ILS | 3.31T ILS | 3.62T ILS |
| April 2027 | 3.49T ILS | 3.27T ILS | 3.70T ILS |
| May 2027 | 3.51T ILS | 3.29T ILS | 3.72T ILS |
| June 2027 | 3.53T ILS | 3.26T ILS | 3.79T ILS |
| July 2027 | 3.55T ILS | 3.36T ILS | 3.74T ILS |
| August 2027 | 3.57T ILS | 3.33T ILS | 3.80T ILS |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +52%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 12 won)
- Direction
- 94%Beats a coin flip (136 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 1 of 50Anticipated some turns (50 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 52% lowerError ratio 0.48; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 12 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-09-01 to 2026-08-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 80%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-08-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
It is above 99% of the 119 earlier readings since September 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| August 2026 | 3.32T ILS |
| July 2026 | 3.28T ILS |
| June 2026 | 3.31T ILS |
| May 2026 | 3.39T ILS |
| April 2026 | 3.26T ILS |
| March 2026 | 3.18T ILS |
| February 2026 | 3.14T ILS |
| January 2026 | 3.11T ILS |
| December 2025 | 3.10T ILS |
| November 2025 | 3.05T ILS |
| October 2025 | 3.05T ILS |
| September 2025 | 3.01T ILS |
| August 2025 | 3.00T ILS |
| July 2025 | 2.97T ILS |
| June 2025 | 2.98T ILS |
| May 2025 | 2.91T ILS |
| April 2025 | 2.86T ILS |
| March 2025 | 2.80T ILS |
| February 2025 | 2.76T ILS |
| January 2025 | 2.77T ILS |
| December 2024 | 2.79T ILS |
| November 2024 | 2.78T ILS |
| October 2024 | 2.73T ILS |
| September 2024 | 2.72T ILS |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
More from Agentic Investor
- Open Israel Banks Balance Sheet in the app: the interactive chart and a fresh forecast
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Also stored for Israel
- Israel Balance Of Trade
- Israel Bank Lending Rate
- Israel Building Permits
- Israel Business Confidence Index
- Israel CPI Housing Utilities
- Israel CPI Transportation
- Israel Capital Flows
- Israel Central Bank Balance Sheet
- Israel Changes In Inventories
- Israel Consumer Confidence Index
- Israel Consumer Credit
- Israel Consumer Price Index