AgenticInvestor

Iceland Employed Persons

Iceland · Monthly series · EC-IS-EMP

Latest, September 2026

220,700.0 pts

+1.0% from August 2026

Open interactive chartIceland Employed Persons in the app

239.1K208.8K178.4KOctober 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 216,878.1 pts, with an 80% interval of 200,349.0 pts to 231,794.3 pts.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 2026218,882.4 pts212,805.5 pts224,786.1 pts
November 2026218,622.3 pts210,179.4 pts226,990.7 pts
December 2026218,460.8 pts214,529.6 pts222,258.7 pts
January 2027218,316.3 pts208,068.6 pts228,164.6 pts
February 2027218,158.8 pts208,695.6 pts227,207.2 pts
March 2027218,115.5 pts206,193.3 pts229,596.2 pts
April 2027217,934.4 pts204,761.8 pts230,296.4 pts
May 2027217,808.8 pts202,117.9 pts232,514.3 pts
June 2027217,663.0 pts205,941.9 pts228,537.6 pts
July 2027217,514.5 pts202,256.1 pts231,684.0 pts
August 2027217,247.3 pts199,135.0 pts233,650.4 pts
September 2027216,878.1 pts200,349.0 pts231,794.3 pts

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+9%Matches the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 6 won)
Direction
54%No clear edge over a coin flip (78 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
24 of 79Anticipated some turns (79 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
9% lowerError ratio 0.91; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
6 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 73% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 2026220,700.0 pts
August 2026218,600.0 pts
July 2026216,600.0 pts
June 2026216,100.0 pts
May 2026220,400.0 pts
April 2026220,500.0 pts
March 2026220,100.0 pts
February 2026221,500.0 pts
January 2026221,700.0 pts
December 2025222,100.0 pts
November 2025221,800.0 pts
October 2025225,300.0 pts
September 2025239,100.0 pts
August 2025226,200.0 pts
July 2025224,000.0 pts
June 2025229,800.0 pts
May 2025229,300.0 pts
April 2025225,200.0 pts
March 2025226,900.0 pts
February 2025220,800.0 pts
January 2025221,800.0 pts
December 2024227,500.0 pts
November 2024226,400.0 pts
October 2024230,200.0 pts

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

More from Agentic Investor

Also stored for Iceland