AgenticInvestor

Iceland Labor Force Participation Rate

Iceland · Monthly series · EC-IS-LFPR

Latest, September 2026

79.6%

+0.40pp from August 2026

Open interactive chartIceland Labor Force Participation Rate in the app

83.778.673.5October 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 78.7%, with an 80% interval of 77.1% to 80.2%.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 202679.5%77.7%81.2%
November 202679.4%77.6%81.2%
December 202679.4%78.4%80.4%
January 202779.4%78.0%80.7%
February 202779.3%77.6%81.0%
March 202779.3%78.1%80.4%
April 202779.3%77.8%80.7%
May 202779.2%77.1%81.2%
June 202779.1%77.6%80.5%
July 202779.0%77.6%80.4%
August 202778.9%76.3%81.3%
September 202778.7%77.1%80.2%

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+26%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 11 won)
Direction
76%No clear edge over a coin flip (106 of 139 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
32 of 78Anticipated some turns (78 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
26% lowerError ratio 0.74; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
11 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 38% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 202679.6%
August 202679.2%
July 202678.8%
June 202678.6%
May 202680.8%
April 202680.0%
March 202680.5%
February 202681.5%
January 202681.4%
December 202580.5%
November 202581.2%
October 202581.2%
September 202581.2%
August 202582.2%
July 202581.1%
June 202581.6%
May 202581.1%
April 202581.4%
March 202581.3%
February 202580.4%
January 202581.4%
December 202481.9%
November 202479.6%
October 202482.0%

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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