Japan Private Investment

Japan · Quarterly series · EC-JP-PIN

Latest, Q2 2026

1.6 pts

+1.6 pts from Q1 2026

Open interactive chartJapan Private Investment in the app

16.4-4.45-25.3Q4 2007Q2 2027
History through Q2 2026, the forecast path to Q2 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for Q2 2027: 2.3 pts, with an 80% interval of -8.3 pts to 11.1 pts.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
Q3 20262.7 pts-2.8 pts7.8 pts
Q4 20261.5 pts-8.3 pts10.5 pts
Q1 20273.9 pts-3.6 pts10.0 pts
Q2 20272.3 pts-8.3 pts11.1 pts

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Needs refresh

The data refresh is due. Confidence will be reassessed against the refreshed history.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
n/aNot evaluated
Direction
n/aNot evaluated
Turning points
n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 28% of the 39 earlier readings since Q3 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
Q2 20261.6 pts
Q1 20260.0 pts
Q4 20256.5 pts
Q3 20252.9 pts
Q2 20257.6 pts
Q1 20256.4 pts
Q4 2024-0.2 pts
Q3 20248.1 pts
Q2 20247.4 pts
Q1 20246.8 pts
Q4 202316.4 pts
Q3 20233.4 pts
Q2 20234.5 pts
Q1 202311.0 pts
Q4 20227.7 pts
Q3 20229.8 pts
Q2 20224.6 pts
Q1 20223.0 pts
Q4 20214.3 pts
Q3 20211.2 pts
Q2 20215.3 pts
Q1 2021-7.8 pts
Q4 2020-4.8 pts
Q3 2020-10.6 pts

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

More from Agentic Investor

Also stored for Japan