Japan Price To Rent Ratio
Japan · Quarterly series · EC-JP-PRR
Latest, Q4 2025
139.7%
+1.60pp from Q3 2025
Forecast
Forecast for Q4 2026: 144.2%, with an 80% interval of 137.0% to 153.3%.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | 141.0% | 138.3% | 144.0% |
| Q2 2026 | 142.2% | 138.8% | 146.3% |
| Q3 2026 | 143.2% | 135.9% | 152.4% |
| Q4 2026 | 144.2% | 137.0% | 153.3% |
AI confidence
Needs refreshThe data refresh is due. Confidence will be reassessed against the refreshed history.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- n/aNot evaluated
- Direction
- n/aNot evaluated
- Turning points
- n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
That is the highest of the 40 readings since Q1 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | 139.7% |
| Q3 2025 | 138.1% |
| Q2 2025 | 136.5% |
| Q1 2025 | 136.8% |
| Q4 2024 | 133.7% |
| Q3 2024 | 133.2% |
| Q2 2024 | 132.3% |
| Q1 2024 | 131.3% |
| Q4 2023 | 130.5% |
| Q3 2023 | 129.5% |
| Q2 2023 | 129.2% |
| Q1 2023 | 128.6% |
| Q4 2022 | 128.0% |
| Q3 2022 | 126.8% |
| Q2 2022 | 125.1% |
| Q1 2022 | 122.8% |
| Q4 2021 | 119.1% |
| Q3 2021 | 117.7% |
| Q2 2021 | 114.6% |
| Q1 2021 | 112.6% |
| Q4 2020 | 111.4% |
| Q3 2020 | 108.8% |
| Q2 2020 | 108.5% |
| Q1 2020 | 108.8% |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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Also stored for Japan
- Japan Asylum Applications
- Japan Balance Of Trade
- Japan Bank Lending Rate
- Japan Bankruptcies
- Japan Business Confidence Index
- Japan Business Survey Index Large Manufacturing Firms
- Japan CPI Housing Utilities
- Japan CPI Transportation
- Japan Capacity Utilization
- Japan Capital Flows
- Japan Car Production
- Japan Car Registrations