Lithuania Consumer Credit
Lithuania · Monthly series · EC-LT-CCR
Latest, September 2026
2.24B EUR
+1.7% from August 2026
Forecast
Forecast for September 2027: 2.52B EUR, with an 80% interval of 2.09B EUR to 2.93B EUR.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 2.28B EUR | 2.25B EUR | 2.33B EUR |
| November 2026 | 2.31B EUR | 2.25B EUR | 2.37B EUR |
| December 2026 | 2.33B EUR | 2.22B EUR | 2.44B EUR |
| January 2027 | 2.35B EUR | 2.19B EUR | 2.51B EUR |
| February 2027 | 2.37B EUR | 2.14B EUR | 2.61B EUR |
| March 2027 | 2.40B EUR | 2.26B EUR | 2.54B EUR |
| April 2027 | 2.41B EUR | 2.22B EUR | 2.60B EUR |
| May 2027 | 2.44B EUR | 2.23B EUR | 2.63B EUR |
| June 2027 | 2.46B EUR | 2.28B EUR | 2.63B EUR |
| July 2027 | 2.48B EUR | 2.23B EUR | 2.71B EUR |
| August 2027 | 2.50B EUR | 2.17B EUR | 2.83B EUR |
| September 2027 | 2.52B EUR | 2.09B EUR | 2.93B EUR |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +45%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 9 won)
- Direction
- 72%No clear edge over a coin flip (104 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 10 of 36Anticipated some turns (36 turns in 12 tests, 1 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 45% lowerError ratio 0.55; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 9 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-09-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
That is the highest of the 120 readings since October 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| September 2026 | 2.24B EUR |
| August 2026 | 2.20B EUR |
| July 2026 | 2.15B EUR |
| June 2026 | 2.11B EUR |
| May 2026 | 1.89B EUR |
| April 2026 | 1.85B EUR |
| March 2026 | 1.88B EUR |
| February 2026 | 1.85B EUR |
| January 2026 | 1.83B EUR |
| December 2025 | 1.80B EUR |
| November 2025 | 1.79B EUR |
| October 2025 | 1.76B EUR |
| September 2025 | 1.73B EUR |
| August 2025 | 1.70B EUR |
| July 2025 | 1.66B EUR |
| June 2025 | 1.61B EUR |
| May 2025 | 1.56B EUR |
| April 2025 | 1.53B EUR |
| March 2025 | 1.49B EUR |
| February 2025 | 1.46B EUR |
| January 2025 | 1.45B EUR |
| December 2024 | 1.42B EUR |
| November 2024 | 1.39B EUR |
| October 2024 | 1.32B EUR |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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Also stored for Lithuania
- Lithuania Asylum Applications
- Lithuania Balance Of Trade
- Lithuania Bankruptcies
- Lithuania Banks Balance Sheet
- Lithuania Building Permits
- Lithuania Business Confidence Index
- Lithuania CPI Housing Utilities
- Lithuania CPI Transportation
- Lithuania Capacity Utilization
- Lithuania Capital Flows
- Lithuania Car Registrations
- Lithuania Central Bank Balance Sheet