Lithuania Corruption Rank

Lithuania · Annual series · EC-LT-CORR

Latest, 2025

28.0 pts

-12.5% from 2024

Open interactive chartLithuania Corruption Rank in the app

5838.1518.319992028
History through 2025, the forecast path to 2028 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for 2028: 27.3 pts, with an 80% interval of 18.3 pts to 37.5 pts.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
202627.3 pts23.0 pts32.8 pts
202727.3 pts20.2 pts35.2 pts
202827.3 pts18.3 pts37.5 pts

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Limited evidence

At least 6 complete tests are required; 2 are available.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
n/aToo few tests (2 tests, 6 needed) (2 tests, 1 won)
Direction
n/aToo few tests (2 tests, 6 needed) (2 of 5 calls right in 2 tests)
Turning points
n/aToo few tests (2 tests, 6 needed) (1 turn in 2 tests, 1 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
17% higherError ratio 1.17; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
1 / 2Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2020-12-01 to 2025-12-013 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
100%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the lowest of the 10 readings since 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
202528.0 pts
202432.0 pts
202334.0 pts
202233.0 pts
202134.0 pts
202035.0 pts
201935.0 pts
201838.0 pts
201738.0 pts
201638.0 pts
201532.0 pts
201439.0 pts
201343.0 pts
201248.0 pts
201150.0 pts
201046.0 pts
200952.0 pts
200858.0 pts
200751.0 pts
200646.0 pts
200544.0 pts
200444.0 pts
200341.0 pts
200236.0 pts

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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