AgenticInvestor

Lithuania Government Debt

Lithuania · Monthly series · EC-LT-GD

Latest, September 2026

38.74B EUR

+1.6% from August 2026

Open interactive chartLithuania Government Debt in the app

49.03B31.74B14.46BOctober 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 41.64B EUR, with an 80% interval of 34.94B EUR to 49.03B EUR.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 202638.91B EUR37.84B EUR40.02B EUR
November 202639.09B EUR37.86B EUR40.50B EUR
December 202639.38B EUR37.07B EUR42.12B EUR
January 202739.62B EUR37.83B EUR41.62B EUR
February 202739.97B EUR36.96B EUR43.41B EUR
March 202740.38B EUR36.97B EUR44.24B EUR
April 202740.54B EUR36.94B EUR44.44B EUR
May 202740.75B EUR36.44B EUR45.69B EUR
June 202741.04B EUR35.87B EUR46.71B EUR
July 202741.22B EUR34.93B EUR48.01B EUR
August 202741.41B EUR35.49B EUR48.04B EUR
September 202741.64B EUR34.94B EUR49.03B EUR

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+11%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 8 won)
Direction
77%No clear edge over a coin flip (111 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
15 of 51Anticipated some turns (51 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
11% lowerError ratio 0.89; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
8 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
87%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the highest of the 120 readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 202638.74B EUR
August 202638.14B EUR
July 202638.69B EUR
June 202638.46B EUR
May 202637.69B EUR
April 202636.34B EUR
March 202636.19B EUR
February 202635.87B EUR
January 202635.09B EUR
December 202533.08B EUR
November 202532.86B EUR
October 202532.81B EUR
September 202533.67B EUR
August 202531.57B EUR
July 202531.95B EUR
June 202531.83B EUR
May 202531.49B EUR
April 202532.27B EUR
March 202532.13B EUR
February 202531.99B EUR
January 202531.70B EUR
December 202429.53B EUR
November 202429.13B EUR
October 202429.19B EUR

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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