Lithuania Loans To Private Sector

Lithuania · Monthly series · EC-LT-LPS

Latest, September 2026

16.01B EUR

+0.9% from August 2026

Open interactive chartLithuania Loans To Private Sector in the app

19.01B13.23B7.457BOctober 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 17.69B EUR, with an 80% interval of 16.14B EUR to 19.01B EUR.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 202616.17B EUR16.03B EUR16.33B EUR
November 202616.33B EUR16.05B EUR16.64B EUR
December 202616.48B EUR16.06B EUR16.93B EUR
January 202716.62B EUR16.03B EUR17.22B EUR
February 202716.79B EUR16.17B EUR17.38B EUR
March 202716.93B EUR16.30B EUR17.52B EUR
April 202717.05B EUR16.17B EUR17.86B EUR
May 202717.19B EUR16.15B EUR18.15B EUR
June 202717.32B EUR16.18B EUR18.34B EUR
July 202717.45B EUR16.15B EUR18.59B EUR
August 202717.58B EUR16.10B EUR18.85B EUR
September 202717.69B EUR16.14B EUR19.01B EUR

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+12%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 7 won)
Direction
66%No clear edge over a coin flip (95 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
7 of 46Anticipated some turns (46 turns in 12 tests, 1 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
12% lowerError ratio 0.88; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
7 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
83%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

That is the highest of the 120 readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 202616.01B EUR
August 202615.86B EUR
July 202615.66B EUR
June 202615.48B EUR
May 202615.34B EUR
April 202614.94B EUR
March 202614.78B EUR
February 202614.84B EUR
January 202614.45B EUR
December 202514.28B EUR
November 202514.24B EUR
October 202514.06B EUR
September 202513.94B EUR
August 202513.59B EUR
July 202513.29B EUR
June 202513.27B EUR
May 202513.06B EUR
April 202512.74B EUR
March 202512.52B EUR
February 202512.29B EUR
January 202512.20B EUR
December 202412.16B EUR
November 202411.90B EUR
October 202411.76B EUR

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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