Morocco GDP From Services
Morocco · Quarterly series · EC-MA-GDPS
Latest, Q2 2026
199.16B MAD
+1.4% from Q1 2026
Forecast
Forecast for Q2 2027: 205.68B MAD, with an 80% interval of 193.61B MAD to 212.74B MAD.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 199.88B MAD | 186.88B MAD | 207.15B MAD |
| Q4 2026 | 202.20B MAD | 188.92B MAD | 210.80B MAD |
| Q1 2027 | 203.80B MAD | 190.62B MAD | 212.61B MAD |
| Q2 2027 | 205.68B MAD | 193.61B MAD | 212.74B MAD |
AI confidence
Mixed evidenceThe tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +4%Matches the no-change baseline over 6 tests (6 tests, 5 won)
- Direction
- 83%No clear edge over a coin flip (20 of 24 calls right in 6 tests)
- Turning points
- n/aToo few tests (6 turns, 8 needed) (6 turns in 6 tests, 1 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 4% lowerError ratio 0.96; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 5 / 6Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2020-09-01 to 2026-06-014 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 83%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-15 against the cached history through 2026-06-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.
Reading
That is the highest of the 40 readings since Q3 2016.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 199.16B MAD |
| Q1 2026 | 196.44B MAD |
| Q4 2025 | 196.52B MAD |
| Q3 2025 | 191.67B MAD |
| Q2 2025 | 189.62B MAD |
| Q1 2025 | 186.37B MAD |
| Q4 2024 | 186.34B MAD |
| Q3 2024 | 182.53B MAD |
| Q2 2024 | 175.17B MAD |
| Q1 2024 | 177.46B MAD |
| Q4 2023 | 175.58B MAD |
| Q3 2023 | 172.66B MAD |
| Q2 2023 | 167.17B MAD |
| Q1 2023 | 169.49B MAD |
| Q4 2022 | 167.80B MAD |
| Q3 2022 | 167.46B MAD |
| Q2 2022 | 160.07B MAD |
| Q1 2022 | 160.85B MAD |
| Q4 2021 | 161.00B MAD |
| Q3 2021 | 159.73B MAD |
| Q2 2021 | 150.31B MAD |
| Q1 2021 | 154.40B MAD |
| Q4 2020 | 150.58B MAD |
| Q3 2020 | 146.62B MAD |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
More from Agentic Investor
- Open Morocco GDP From Services in the app: the interactive chart and a fresh forecast
- World and commodity series: every stored series
- Vietnam indicators
Also stored for Morocco
- Morocco Balance Of Trade
- Morocco Banks Balance Sheet
- Morocco CPI Housing Utilities
- Morocco CPI Transportation
- Morocco Capital Flows
- Morocco Central Bank Balance Sheet
- Morocco Changes In Inventories
- Morocco Consumer Confidence Index
- Morocco Consumer Price Index
- Morocco Consumer Spending
- Morocco Core Inflation Rate YoY
- Morocco Corporate Tax Rate