AgenticInvestor

Morocco Interest Rate

Morocco · Monthly series · EC-MA-INTR

Latest, August 2026

2.2%

+0.00pp from July 2026

Open interactive chartMorocco Interest Rate in the app

3.2232.1951.168September 2016August 2027
History through August 2026, the forecast path to August 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for August 2027: 2.2%, with an 80% interval of 1.2% to 3.2%.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
September 20262.2%2.2%2.3%
October 20262.2%2.1%2.3%
November 20262.2%2.0%2.3%
December 20262.2%1.9%2.4%
January 20272.2%1.9%2.5%
February 20272.2%2.0%2.5%
March 20272.2%1.6%2.9%
April 20272.2%1.4%3.0%
May 20272.2%1.3%3.1%
June 20272.2%1.2%3.1%
July 20272.2%1.2%3.2%
August 20272.2%1.2%3.2%

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Weak evidence

The serving forecast made larger errors than the no-change baseline in these tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
-10%Trails the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 4 won)
Direction
92%Beats a coin flip (44 of 48 calls right in 6 tests)
Turning points
n/aToo few tests (0 turns, 8 needed) (0 turns in 12 tests, 2 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
10% higherError ratio 1.10; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
4 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-09-01 to 2026-08-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 28% of the 119 earlier readings since September 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
August 20262.2%
July 20262.2%
June 20262.2%
May 20262.2%
April 20262.2%
March 20262.2%
February 20262.2%
January 20262.2%
December 20252.2%
November 20252.2%
October 20252.2%
September 20252.2%
August 20252.2%
July 20252.2%
June 20252.2%
May 20252.2%
April 20252.2%
March 20252.2%
February 20252.5%
January 20252.5%
December 20242.5%
November 20242.8%
October 20242.8%
September 20242.8%

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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