Montenegro Current Account To GDP
Montenegro · Annual series · EC-ME-CAG
Latest, 2025
-20.3%
-3.20pp from 2024
Forecast
No forecast is cached this cycle.
AI confidence
No forecast yetEvidence will appear when a forecast and its backtests are available.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Model comparison
Comparison not readyA forecast and enough history for rolling backtests are required.
Reading
It is above 11% of the 9 earlier readings since 2016.
Recent history (22 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| 2025 | -20.3% |
| 2024 | -17.1% |
| 2023 | -11.2% |
| 2022 | -12.9% |
| 2021 | -9.3% |
| 2020 | -26.3% |
| 2019 | -14.4% |
| 2018 | -17.2% |
| 2017 | -16.3% |
| 2016 | -16.3% |
| 2015 | -11.1% |
| 2014 | -12.4% |
| 2013 | -11.5% |
| 2012 | -17.6% |
| 2011 | -19.4% |
| 2010 | -25.6% |
| 2009 | -29.9% |
| 2007 | -44.2% |
| 2006 | -31.1% |
| 2005 | -8.6% |
| 2004 | -9.7% |
| 2003 | -7.4% |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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